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Saturday, November 29, 2008

The Guru Gridiron Report: Week 13 Bench/Start Wide Receivers


Hey everyone. Thanksgiving has caused us to be a little late with our weekly picks. do apologize for that, so I will get them out as quick as possible. We will not be including any players from the Thursday games.
Don't forget to catch our LIVE podcasts on Blog Talk Radio The Fantasy Football Scouting Report - http://www.blogtalkradio.com/Football-Scout every Tuesday at 9:30pm EST and The Fantasy Football Gurus Show - http://www.blogtalkradio.com/The-Fantasy-Gurus every Wednesday at 6:30pm EST. If you can't catch us live, catch the podcast, just click on the link to here the latest show!

TOP 20 WIDE RECIEVERS YOU MUST START

  1. Reggie Wayne
  2. Andre Johnson
  3. Greg Jennings
  4. Jerricho Cotchery
  5. Brandon Marshall
  6. Roddy White
  7. Lavernues Coles
  8. Braylon Edwards
  9. Lee Evans
  10. Chris Chambers
  11. Eddie Royal
  12. Dwayne Bowe
  13. Steve Smith
  14. Marvin Harrison
  15. T.J. Houshmandzadeh
  16. Rashied Davis
  17. Lance Moore
  18. Santonio Holmes
  19. Randy Moss
  20. Marques Colston

TOP 5 WIDE RECEIVERS TO BENCH

  1. Hines Ward
  2. Santana Moss
  3. Plaxico Burress
  4. Bernard Berrian
  5. Jerry Porter

TOP 5 SLEEPER WIDE RECEIVERS

  1. Donnie Avery
  2. Wes Welker
  3. Chad Johnson
  4. Reggie Williams
  5. Ted Ginn Jr.

Good luck. Next are our Tight Ends!

The True Guru

Friday, November 28, 2008

The Guru Gridiron Report: Week 13 Bench/Start Runningbacks


Hey everyone. Thanksgiving has caused us to be a little late with our weekly picks. do apologize for that, so I will get them out as quick as possible. We will not be including any players from the Thursday games.
Don't forget to catch our LIVE podcasts on Blog Talk Radio The Fantasy Football Scouting Report - http://www.blogtalkradio.com/Football-Scout every Tuesday at 9:30pm EST and The Fantasy Football Gurus Show - http://www.blogtalkradio.com/The-Fantasy-Gurus every Wednesday at 6:30pm EST. If you can't catch us live, catch the podcast, just click on the link to here the latest show!

TOP 15 RUNNINGBACKS YOU MUST START

  1. Joseph Addai
  2. LaDainian Tomlinson
  3. Marshawn Lynch
  4. Maurice Jones-Drew
  5. Thomas Jones
  6. Steve Slaton
  7. Larry Johnson
  8. Frank Gore
  9. Jamal Lewis
  10. Ryan Grant
  11. DeAngelo Williams
  12. Darren McFadden
  13. Brandon Jacobs
  14. Peyton Hillis
  15. Reggie Bush

TOP 5 RUNNINGBACKS TO BENCH

  1. Clinton Portis
  2. BenJarvous Green-Ellis
  3. Willis McGahee
  4. Pierre Thomas or Duece McCallister
  5. Willie Parker

TOP 5 SLEEPER RUNNINGBACKS

  1. Jonathan Stewart
  2. Mewelde Moore
  3. Justin Fargas
  4. Ray Rice
  5. Cedric Benson

Good luck. Next are our Wide Receivers!

The True Guru

The Guru Gridiron Report: Week 13 Bench/Start Quarterbacks


Hey everyone. Thanksgiving has caused us to be a little late with our weekly picks. do apologize for that, so I will get them out as quick as possible. We will not be including any players from the Thursday games.
Don't forget to catch our LIVE podcasts on Blog Talk Radio The Fantasy Football Scouting Report - http://www.blogtalkradio.com/Football-Scout every Tuesday at 9:30pm EST and The Fantasy Football Gurus Show - http://www.blogtalkradio.com/The-Fantasy-Gurus every Wednesday at 6:30pm EST. If you can't catch us live, catch the podcast, just click on the link to here the latest show!

TOP 10 QUARTERBACKS YOU MUST START

  1. Peyton Manning
  2. Drew Brees
  3. Philip Rivers
  4. Aaron Rodgers
  5. Jay Cutler
  6. Brett Farve
  7. Derek Anderson
  8. Eli Manning
  9. David Garrard
  10. Jeff Garcia

TOP 5 QUARTERBACKS TO BENCH

  1. Matt Cassel
  2. Gus Frerotte
  3. Kyle Orton
  4. Ryan Fitzpatrick
  5. JaMarcus Russell

TOP 5 SLEEPER QUARTERBACK

  1. Tyler Thigpen
  2. Sage Rosenfels
  3. Shaun Hill
  4. Chad Pennington
  5. Marc Bulger

Good luck. Next are our Runningbacks!

The True Guru

Patience is a Virtue

On Thanksgiving we all had great meals and spent wonderful time with our families. In my opinion the best part of turkey day is the football. We get treated to three games across the day and man was it w great day for football and fantasy football alike.

I titled this post "patience is a virtue" because so many stud players came out to play in day and in only 3 games. Many of the players that turned up big like Tony Romo, Larry Fitzgerald, DeSean Jackson, and Brian Westbrook have largely been let downs in recent weeks or for most of the season. If you had patience, if you had the strength to hold onto LenDale White, Donovan McNabb, and even Steve Breaston than you got the pay off you were waiting for.

Here are the numbers from some of the fantasy players who haven't been as good recently, who looked very good on Thanksgiving and paid off big if you started them:

LenDale White - 106 yards, 2 TDs
Chris Johnson - 125 yards, 2 TDs
Robironas - He put up zero nothing over the past two weeks - 4 field goals, 5 XPs
Tennessee defense - 10 points, DTD, INT, 2 FF, and 4 sacks.

Tony Romo - 331 yards, 3 TDs, INT
Jason Witten - 9 rec, 115 yards, TD
Terrell Owens 5 rec, 98 yards, TD

Donovan McNabb - 260 yards, 4 TDs
Brian Westbrook - 130 yards, 4 TDs
DeSean Jackson - 6 rec, 76 yards, TD
Larry Fitzgerald - 5 rec, 65 yards, 2 TDs
Steve Breaston - 6 rec, 45 yards, TD

Even though Kurt Warner had a bad night for his team, overall it was a great fantasy night with 235 yards, 3 TDs, and 3 INTs.

I know there are a few people out there who benched Brian Westbrook. Guys who benched Jason Witten, or even DeSean Jackson. If you didn't, you got redemption for at least 1 week. For my leagues, I started all the players involved in Thanksgiving Day games and let's just say my opponents woke up Friday morning a little fatter and looking up at a mountain of a score to overcome. I hope the same goes for the rest of you out there who owns these players.

Wednesday, November 26, 2008

The True Guru Souting Report: Buyer Beware on Derek Anderson

With Brady Quinn out the rest of the year with a broken finger, Derek Anderson will get one more chance to prove his worth to other teams for the 2009 season. From a fantasy perspective, owners who have him now or decide to pick him up have a tough schedule to face with Anderson with a few games that could be worthy of a start.

Starting next week against the Indianapolis Colts. That is a great matchup for Anderson and if his receivers are healthy he could put up some good fantasy points in front of the home crowd. After that, for the first two weeks of most leagues playoffs, he faces stiff competition on the road from Tennessee and Philadelphia. Two games we would not recommend starting him under any circumstance.

Ten for the Superbowl matchup in many leagues is a good one for Anderson. Cincinnati at home. It will probably be snowing, but if the weather is good, Anderson should be good. Could that be a tie when you'd use him. In your league playoffs or Superbowl. Tough call for any manager, but you will have three weeks of games to review to help make your decision, so we can cross that bridge then. The week 17 matchup is against Pittsburgh IN Pittsburgh, so no start there.

We like some of the prospects fr Anderson, but beware who you cut just to pick him up. He hasn't been very good this year and we don't have that much confidence that he will all of a sudden break out of the year long funk he has been in. After getting benched, there is motivation for him and you would have to hope that is enough.

If you are desperate for a QB for week 13, then start Anderson and cross your fingers. He is likely to be without Winslow and that is not good for the quarterback.

The Guru Gridiron Report: Week 12 Review Wide Receivers & Tight Ends



Week 12 was an outstanding week for offense. according to the numbers, the NFL put a 800 point week, so translates into alloy of fantasy points. There were 7 games that broke 50 points and many more that broke over 42. As we ready to transition into the playoffs soon, hopefully the players that sprang to life this week were your players. Here's a review of the some the quarterbacks who impacted week 12.

Wide Receiver & Tight Ends

Terrell Owens UPGRADED FVR: 8.9
Owens unleashed a can of whoop as on the San Francisco 49ers. We aren't saying he's back, but this is a good sign. You have to start him. He has never stopped being a #1 WR, and games like this are why.


Larry Fitzgerald DOWNGRADED FVR: 9.1
Second week in a row that Fitzgerald has been downgraded. With Boldin taking TDs and Breaston taking catches his numbers are slipping. He still is a automatic start. We think this week will be big for him.


Lance Moore UPGRADED FVR: 8.5
2 Moore (Get it?) TDs. He is becoming a big target for Brees. Let's watch him the rest of the season, but for now he is a strong #2 WR.


Marques Colston UPGRADED FVR: 8.8
He barely gets an upgrade cause he got 1 catch for 70 yards and a TD. Not bad, but he's losing favor to Lance Moore.

Reggie Wayne DOWNGRADED FVR: 9.2
Wayne has had to tough week sin a row, but don't worry. We see Wayne having good game with great matchups for the Colts coming up the rest of the season.

Randy Moss UPGRADED FVR: 8.9
Wow, what a game for Moss. We expect to see more of this as Cassel seems to be finding his touch and Moss is reaping the benefits.

Wes Welker UPGRADED FVR: 8.9
We like him as much as Moss. We say this primarily for a PPR league. He carries allot of value and is a stellar #2 WR.

Benard Berrian DOWNGRADED FVR: 7.8
Frorotte is killing him. He hasn't done much in 2-3 weeks and we don't see him getting better. At this point we cannot recommend starting him.

Reggie Williams UPGRADED FVR: 7.9
Williams caught a TD and 3 passes. He finally made an appearance. He has ll the ability in the world to score big fantasy points, but him and Garrard have to get on the same page. At this point, you just can't start him.

Amani Toomer UPGRADED FVR: 8.0
He's very inconsistent, but he got 4 catches and a TD week 13. If Burress is out again, Toomer makes a solid #3 FLEX WR.

Tight Ends

Tony Gonzalez UPGRADED FVR: 8.8
Great game after great game. His young QB is looking for this veteran TE constantly. We think he is the #1 TE in 2008 so far.

John Carlson UPGRADED FVR: 8.4
2 catches and 14 yards isn't the best, but add on a TD and it looks good. He's a low-end #1 TE.

Jason Witten DOWNGRADED FVR 8.4
Witten is still playing hurt and didn't do much again. He is killing owners, but the choices out there aren't better then playing a hurt Witten. Its pick your poison right now. We think Thanksgiving could be a game to redeem himself.

Dustin Keller UPGRADED FVR: 8.0
No TDs this week, but 8 catches for 87 yards. When Farve is in the red zone, he's looking for his rookie TE.

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The Guru Gridiron Report: Week 12 Review Runningbacks


Week 12 was an outstanding week for offense. according to the numbers, the NFL put a 800 point week, so translates into alloy of fantasy points. There were 7 games that broke 50 points and many more that broke over 42. As we ready to transition into the playoffs soon, hopefully the players that sprang to life this week were your players. Here's a review of the some the quarterbacks who impacted week 12.


Runningbacks

Steve Slaton UPGRADED FVR: 8.9
Big upgrade for Staton. Not because he had an overwhelming big game, but Ahman Green is out for the year and Slaton will see more action.

Leon Washington UPGRADED FVR: 8.3
Another 2 TDs for Washington. One sealed the game and the other was junk. Still, two TDs. I started him last week, and if you need a good FLEX player, Washington is your man.

Joseph Addai DOWNGRADED FVR 8.6
For Addai to be effective, he has to score. failed to do that or anything else for that matter.

Michael Turner UPGRADED FVR: 9.1
Turner has gone crazy and is super hot. Add another 4 TDs to his totals. He is single handily winning matchups for fantasy managers.

Thomas Jones UPGRADED FVR: 9.1
The whole Jets offense gets the upgrade. He also did get a 117 total yards and a TD. He is a #1 RB now.

Marshawn Lynch UPGRADED FVR 8.7
Another great game for Lynch. 104 total yars and a TD. Very good. He seems to be back and stronger then ever.

Adrian Peterson UPGRADED FVR: 9.2
Peterson had a solid game, but overall he been hot lately and for owners out there like me who were losing faith in the guy, he seems to back. Start AP with confidence.
Matt Forte UPGRADED FVR: 9.5
132 yards and 2 TDs, outstanding. Matt Forte has quickly turned into one of the best runningbacks in the league and s playing as well as two running backs right now. Continue to see him dominate.

Derrick Ward UPGRADED FVR 8.5
We think Ward is a great start RB in deep leagues and a solid FLEX guy in smaller leagues. He get 10+ touches a game an has been outstanding.

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Tuesday, November 25, 2008

The Guru Gridiron Report: Week 12 Review Quarterbacks


Week 12 was an outstanding week for offense. according to the numbers, the NFL put a 800 point week, so translates into alloy of fantasy points. There were 7 games that broke 50 points and many more that broke over 42. As we ready to transition into the playoffs soon, hopefully the players that sprang to life this week were your players. Here's a review of the some the quarterbacks who impacted week 12.

Quarterbacks
Eli Manning - UPGRADE FVR: 9.2
240 yards and 3 TDs was outstanding. We really liked him this week and he did not let us down. He even did it without Plaxico Burress. Jacobs will be back and his numbers should fall a bit.
Tony Romo UPGRADE FVR: 9.3
He still has the splint, but he threw three touchdowns and made Terrell happy. Thanksgiving should be just that for Romo. He will look eve better.

Kurt Warner DOWNGRADED FVR: 9.4
We are only downgrading him for the mistakes and the fact that they show they are more willing to run in TDs. Other than that it was the Giants.

Matt Cassel UPGRADED FVR: 8.9
Another 400 yards and 3 TDs. He got a big upgrade, but we think his current FVR is inflated a bit..

Tylet Thigpen UPGRADED FVR: 8.0
Another great game for the rookie QB. 2 TDs and 235 yards against the Saints. He isn't the greatest, but in a league of failing QBs he can be a savior.

Brett Farve - UPGRADED FVR: 8.4
A very nice game for the 39 year old quarterback. He scored 2 TDs and racked up 258 yards. He is still plagued with inconsistency, but he is getting into the time of the year where he dominates.

Shaun Hill UPGRADED FVR: 8.5
Hill had a great game with 3 TDs (1 running). He has had two straight good games and we see him having more. He was our pick at the beginning of the year to start and we think he will have several more great starts this year. Dallas in week 12 looks good for him.

Trent Edwards UPGRADED FVR: 8.0
We still aren't sure about Edwards, but he came alive against Kansas City for the tune of 273 yards and 2 TDs. We still don't recommend starting him, but keep an eye out.

Drew Brees UPGRADED FVR: 9.7
Brees is a monster. 5 TDs and 373 yards. He will win the Tom Brady Fantasy Stud of the year award for 2008. He is unbelievable and always start him with a smile.

Donovan McNabb DOWNGRADED FVR: 8.7
We don't know what's wrong with McNabb. He's good one week, bad the next two. You simply cannot start him and expect him to do well for you. Bench him unless Ryan Fitzpatrick is on your bench. I'd start any of the other guys in this list before McNabb.


Derek Anderson UPGRADED FVR: 8.0
Brady Quinn broke his finger, so for the rest of the year its the Derek Anderson show starring Derek Anderson. Lets see how he can do for the next 4 weeks. I wouldn't start him just yet.

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Monday, November 24, 2008

A Stable & Agressive Strategy Leads The True Guru To a 5-1 Week 12

Leagues: 6 (3 Yahoo!, 2 CBS Sportsline, 1 ESPN)
Total Record: 48-24 (.667 Winning Percentage)

* Clinched Playoff spot
** Clinched BYE week in first round of playoffs

The great comeback is still going strong. After going 3-3 or worse 4 straight weeks, I've now had 2 consecutive 5-1 weeks and I've now clinched playoff berths in 5 of the 6 leagues I'm in and I'm looking at BYE weeks in at least 3, maybe 4. The strategy I turned to late in the season after 4, and really 5 miserable weeks was to swap out injured players for some hot, but proven free agents, I made trades to solidify my roster, and stuck to the game fan about not taking risks with my suds by benching them. I also did not make any crazy roster moves like picking up a second tight end for Jason Witten. He will be back sooner than later and I didn't want to give up a good bench player for a fill in tight end. Here are the results from week 12:


Coast 2 Coast League *
LV Cowboys 77.5 , Sassy Raiders 79.4
This league is burning me up. I thought I won last week, but a Yahoo! score correction cost me the game and now I lost this week. The failure to win was due to 7 of my 9 players. Guys like Frank Gore, Larry Fitzgerald, Miami defense, Reggie Wayne, and Jason Witten did nearly nothing. The big lose was Reggie Wayne. I went into the Sunday night game down by 4 points and still lost! Reggie Wayne couldn't get me 5 stinking points. I've now lost 3 games in a row in a league I was 9-0 and I'm now 9-3. I need to win one of the last two games to clinch a BYE week.

Football Dynasty VI - (SCORED LEAGUE HIGH SCORE)*
LV Cowboys 371, Coming Back For More 255
I had a huge game this week in the Dynasty league. I scored the league high score in a dominating performance for my team in which it needed it. Michael Turner, Terrell Owens, Tony Romo, Lance Briggs were the stars here. All around my team was just great. I scored the second most points for a team next to my week 3 performance were I laid 375 points the same team. I have a feeling he doesn't want to see me again. I did finally and officially clinch a playoff spot in this league. If I win 1 more game or some teams lose I will clinch the BYE week in this league.

J.A.I.L. League*
The True Guru 99, Sin City Rebels 78
I faced off against my older brother Chris and the match was tougher than it looks. I almost thought I blew it when at the last minute Jay Glazer (FOX) said that Jacobs was going to suit up and start and everything I read said differently. So, I benched Derrick Ward and started LenDale White and the difference was a 16 point loss. Brett Farve, Andre Johnson, Dwayne Bowe, and the Bears defense bailed me out. This game went down to Monday. I was all done and held onto a 42 point lead, but Sin City had Ryan Grant Marques Colston, and Donald Lee. Whew. I clinched a playoff berth in this league. There is no BYE week, so my work in done for now.

Vegas Vs Texas League (SCORED LEAGUE HIGH SCORE)**
Lv Cowboys 199, Brontis Bombers 169
This was a big week. A win and I clinch the BYE week. Plus I got to face-off against a rookie in the league who will make the playoffs, but I needed to make sure he didn't beat the wily veteran. This game looked like a blowout early, but then Kurt Warner and Michael Turner went Ballistic in points and managed to make it somewhat close. The game was up for grabs on Monday night as I was done and had Green Bay's defense, but we know what happened there. MY big performers were Minnesota defense, Tony Gonzalez, and Eli Manning. The rest of my team did average. The last game of the season no longer matters as I have my BYE week secured.

NSP Experts League (SCORED LEAGUE HIGH SCORE)*
FF Search 144, Bruno Boys 128
A big win this week in the NSP Expert League. With Lucky Lester losing, my win puts me in second place and in firm control of my destiny and the coveted BYE week. Larry from Bruno Boys put up a helluva a fight scoring the second highest score of the week, but just came short to my highest score of the week. I had a huge night from Drew Brees, Joseph Addai, Bears defense, and Wes Welker. This league was also my start of the week. I benched Brain Westbrook as I recommended to my readers and started Leon Washington. What a move as Washington poured in 19 points. great matchup and a great week for The True Guru. If I win next week against my buddy Mike from Xtreme Fantasy Football or Lucky Lester loses I get the BYE week. Stay tuned.

Fantasy Football Search Expert League
Fantasy Football Search 125, Nooffseason.com 118
I've had allot of big wins this year, but this one was one of my biggest. I have to win out and others have to lose for me to make the playoffs in this league. I went into Monday nights game down 118-96 and I had only Lance Moore left. He got the job done and did it quickly. Thomas Jones and Tony Romo also got the job done. I still need to win next week and if a couple of other teams lose I'm in the playoffs. I should get Reggie Bush back as well and that could be big for my final stab at a playoff berth.

Monday Brunch: Don't know much about history

I really liked this article by Scott Pianowski. I like the theory of not depending too much on historic matchups. I found this article at Yahoo! Sports, Check it out.

Monday Brunch: Don't know much about history
By Scott Pianowski

I know they're on your computer somewhere, tucked away in your favorite links. Fantasy history, player versus team, pretty numbers on a spreadsheet. And it's time to do the right thing, my friends: select and delete.
A short memory is the best friend of a goalie or a defensive back, and it's also something you want as a fantasy owner. Players improve or regress, some schemes jell while others fall apart, adjustments are made, roles change. And this point really gets hammered home when we look at all the Week 12 results that defied the historical trends between player and opponent.
Remember Week 4, when Ronnie Brown struck the Patriots with the Wildcat while Matt Cassel and Randy Moss looked like a couple of schmucks? It all reversed in Miami Sunday. The Dolphins single-covering Moss was an unexpected bonus for the Pats, but Cassel's improved significantly since September. And the Patriots, to their credit, have tightened up their run-stopping after a messy first month.
Michael Turner couldn't do a thing against the Panthers the first time around. Sunday he almost tore a rotator cuff from all the end zone spiking. Eddie Royal abused the Raiders on the first Monday of the year. Sunday, you couldn't even tell he was on the field. Hines Ward had a history of success against the Bengals into Week 12. Thursday night, he wasn't a factor (though he did lose one big catch on a penalty). DeAngelo Williams didn't get much in Carolina's earlier win over Atlanta. Sunday, he went off in a loss.
I'm not suggesting that you should completely blow off matchups as you make your fantasy decisions, but make sure you're staying in the here and now. Games played two years ago or even two months ago just don't matter very much for projection purposes (the 2007 Patriots and Giants can tell you that). And looking back to previous seasons might be the biggest waste of time in this fantasy racket; the teams might not change uniforms, but just about anything else is in a state of flux. Look back 3-4 weeks at most, and use that as the foundation for your projections.
With that rant off my chest, let's look around the Week 12 landscape and talk some football:
Leon Washington has hit double-digit touches just once in the last two months, and he had just nine at Tennessee, albeit two touchdowns followed. Would 4-5 more touches a game be too much to ask, New York? It's so difficult to flex-start a player who sees the ball this infrequently, but Washington's explosive skills can't be ignored. He's the type of player who should give Denver fits next week.
Sticking with the Jets, it would be nice if they'd drop the coy act on their kickers so we could roll with Jay Feely (51 points in four weeks) and not have to worry about it. Mike Nugent seems healthy enough to kick now, but how can the team go away from Feely while he's dialed in? Unfortunately, they refuse to say much about it until game day.
• Imagine the day when Calvin Johnson plays with a star quarterback, or heck, an average one. He's basically had one no-show all year, no matter that he's doubled all over the field and his teammates can't deliver the ball to him accurately.
• I'm all for Chris Johnson and he'll go off against Detroit Thursday, and Steve Slaton is a nifty player, but it's time to concede that Matt Forte is the best rookie back for fantasy purposes. It doesn't mean he's the best player, mind you, but he's definitely got the best setup.
Kevin Walter can play on my team anytime. He understands how to set up defenders, and he catches the ball in stride just very well.
• Accept that the LaDainian Tomlinson we saw Sunday night is who he'll be for the rest of the year. Still a useful, handy, solid player, someone you start every week. But the second gear is gone, the ability to plant a foot and embarrass a defender, the ability to turn 11-yard runs into 50-yard runs. Between the career workload and the dings of this year, he's not at full throttle. To say anything else at this point is closing both of your eyes and taking a leap of faith.
Philip Rivers played more than well enough to beat the Colts (24-for-31, 288 yards, two touchdowns, 9.3 YPA, 126.8 rating). I didn't like Norv Turner's endgame, how about you?
Dwayne Bowe rarely goes bananas, but he's doing something just about every week. My kind of fantasy player, and he's going to get better.
Shaun Hill won't overwhelm anyone with his physical gifts, but he understands what's going on out there. A shame he's not a little taller, or the arm couldn't be a little stronger. But there's a playmaker here.
Terrell Owens has an extra gear when he sniffs the end zone, and he certainly abused the Niners for three hours Sunday. That said, didn't it look like Nate Clements was playing in ski boots?
• The Giants don't need Plaxico Burress, and I'll be surprised if he's there next year.
Jamal Lewis probably had a big game coming if the Browns didn't lose their way against the Texans. Still, it's funny that a back that's used as much as Lewis can still be without a 90-yard rushing game as we hit Thanksgiving week.
• I never had a problem with Maurice Jones-Drew, it was more an issue with the team's play calling and the spotty play of the line. It's great to see the first concern no longer applies.
• They don't come any tougher than Clinton Portis, who's willing himself to yardage these days while he's clearly not 100 percent healthy. In a lot of cities the running back spot is fungible, but if you take Portis away from this Redskins team, they're going nowhere.
• You have a better chance hitting Powerball than you do figuring out the matrix that is the Baltimore backfield. Willis McGahee and Ray Rice got their chances Sunday and couldn't get it done; they left the door wide open for Le'Ron McClain.
• I don't blame Andy Reid for wanting to see Kevin Kolb play eventually, but asking the unproven kid to enter a hornet's nest at Baltimore, that didn't make any sense.
• A tip of the cap to my buddy Brad Evans, who keeps finding production for you, buried at the bottom of the barrel. Another hit this week, as Fred Jackson collected 76 yards on 11 touches. Anyone can tell you the obvious in this numbers racket, but it takes skill to find hidden stats in the trenches.
Tyler Thigpen's numbers were a lot better than his actual play. We can live with that from a fantasy perspective, but he definitely took a step back against Buffalo.
• Get Davone Bess on your radar, he's been progressing nicely and Greg Camarillo, sadly, is out for the season. If you can run reliable routes, Chad Pennington will find you.
• Josh McDaniels is going places. And if I'm Cassell, I want to be in the same city.
• It's hard to go wrong with Buffalo Tom. Enjoy today's musical selection.

Bush scratched for Packers game

NEW ORLEANS (AP)—Reggie Bush was scratched for the New Orleans Saints’ home game against the Green Bay Packers on Monday night.
Bush, who had arthroscopic surgery Oct. 20 to repair a torn meniscus in his left knee, has practiced intermittently the past two weeks and said last Thursday he hoped to be ready to play soon.
However, he rested on Friday and coach Sean Payton listed him as questionable. Saints officials confirmed before the game that Bush was going to be one of New Orleans’ inactive players, meaning he would miss his fourth straight game.
The Saints went 2-1 in their first three games without Bush and were 3-4 when he played. Even after missing three games, Bush remained second on the club in receptions with 42 for 366 yards and three touchdowns. He has 294 yards and two TDs rushing this season and has returned three punts for touchdowns, including two the last time the Saints played on Monday night, when they lost 30-27 to Minnesota on Oct. 6.

Sunday Snide Remarks Week 12

By Andy Benoit, www.NFLTouchdown.com

Thanksgiving Games Note
There is a scheduling flaw in the Thanksgiving games. Both the Cowboys and Lions had home games on Sunday. That’s not fair because their opponents this Thursday will have to travel. The NFL should force the Cowboys and Lions to play on the road before their Thursday game, that way both teams facing off Thursday will have had to travel in some form on the short week.

Baltimore Ravens 36, Philadelphia Eagles 7
By far the biggest news of the week came when Andy Reid shockingly benching Donovan McNabb. Watching this was like seeing a couple you’ve been friends with for years abruptly get divorced after you thought they had already survived the rocky parts of their marriage. Deep down you’re not necessarily surprised that the divorce came because there was a time, awhile back, that you were certain it would. But now that it actually has (seemingly), you’re absolutely floored. After 10 years, it just seems weird even thinking about Andy Reid ad Donovan McNabb not being together.

By the way, what in the world is Reid thinking? The stingy Ravens defense was giving his 10-year veteran problems, so to ameliorate the situation, he asks his callow second-year quarterback to make his debut and save the team’s playoff hopes in the process? And what does Reid do now? The Eagles have a short week….does he keep Kolb in there and hope for the best? There’s absolutely no way Reid thought this one through.

Other quick notes from this game….

Jarret Johnson was a beast for the Ravens, recording 1.5 sacks and disrupting about a half dozen more plays.

Ed Reed finally had another record-setting interception return. It had been a long time since the star safety took a pick back 100-plus yards.

The Eagles still can’t convert in short-yardage situations.

Joe Flacco was far from spectacular, completing less than 50 percent of his throws. But because he has a coach who puts him in positions to succeed (you listening, Andy Reid?) he managed to avoid any turnovers and toss two touchdowns.

New York Jets 34, Tennessee Titans 13
Great loss for the Titans. This unlikeliest of winning streaks had to come to an end at some point – might as well have it happen before any distractions stir up. And with a short week before playing Detroit, there’s virtually not time for anyone to dwell on this loss. The Titans will be 11-1 and under the radar before the holiday shopping season begins.

Chris Carr will be noted for his costly pass interference penalties in this game, which is too bad. The versatile defensive back has played extremely well since being forced into the starting lineup a few games ago.

Albert Haynesworth has been known to play with concussions, and sure enough, he was on the field in the second half after taking a shot to the head early on. Haynesworth now has 8.5 sacks on the season and remains, in my opinion, the NFL MVP.

Leon Washington is more than just an X-factor. He’s the best playmaker on New York’s high-scoring offense.

Back-to-back road wins against the Patriots and Titans is impressive, but I don’t know if the Jets want to be talked about as the AFC’s best team. When you have Brett Favre and play in New York, that creates a lot of added pressure – especially with the possibility of a subway Super Bowl being on the table.

Dallas Cowboys 35, San Francisco 49ers 22
Dallas is back, thanks in large part to a re-energized defense. Terence Newman did not have his best game Sunday, but a furious front seven helped make up for it, sacking Shaun Hill four times and limiting a Niners passing attack that started hot early on.

Terrell Owens did his thing, both during the week when he ran his mouth, and on Sunday, when he backed it up. Facing man coverage that looked more like “boy coverage”, Owens torched his former 49er team for seven catches and 213 yards. As obnoxious as T.O. can be, it’s hard to argue with his logic when he says that when he gets the ball, good things happen. Besides Calvin Johnson, there’s not a more unstoppable wide receiving when it comes to running downfield with a full head of steam.

One mistake Wade Phillips made was leaving Tony Romo and Marion Barber in the game down the stretch. Dallas had a comfortable lead and should have been thinking about preserving key players for Thanksgiving.

It was in a losing effort, but Isaac Bruce showed that he hasn’t slowed down much at all. The Reverend caught eight passes for 125 yards and a touchdown. True, Bruce’s numbers are down this year – he’s on pace for about 700 yards receiving – but that has more to do with San Francisco’s instability at quarterback.

Pacman Jones will be reinstated in time for the Pittsburgh game in a few weeks, but I’m not sure what Dallas will do with him. Newman and Anthony Henry are both playing well at corner, and the Cowboys are smitten over fifth-round rookie Orlando Scandrick in the slot. And don’t forget, sharing time with Scandrick at nickel back has been first-round rookie Mike Jenkins.

To read Snide Remarks from all Week 12 games, visit www.NFLTouchdown.com

Sunday, November 23, 2008

Consider Benching Westbrook Week 12

I know its not the popular thing to suggest, but this is aiming to be a very bad week for Brian Westbrook. First he is dealing with two injuries that have plagued most of the season. The first is a high ankle sprain that he hurt earlier in the year. Then he has some swelling in his knees, which is fairly normal for Westbrook. Let's not forget the broken ribs that have healed, but are still very sore.

Now factor in the very good Ravens run defense that has been awesome against the run this year. If Westbrook plays and we think he will, it will be a limited roll with Buckhalter taking allot of touches away from him. Also, if he does play he will get his points in the the air, so if your league is not PPR than you are probably screwed.

If you have a decent backup, this would be the week to rest Westbrook. Keep an eye on the news Sunday morning cause he may not even suit up.

I am benching him in all three leagues I have and I'd recommend you doing the same if your backup is DECENT.

Todd "The True Guru" Farino

BOYCOTT Blog Talk Radio's Fantasy Sports Channel & Here's Why

Here we go again, more complaining from Todd Farino right? How about more abuse from Paul Greco and his gang. I had a rough year in the industry last season due to my relationship with Paul Greco. Anyone who reads our blogs or listens to our shows clearly knows most if not all of the details. However, now things have gotten worse and again it's Paul Greco and his new found ally Tony Cincotta who are trying to silence The True Guru further.

The latest assault on me was them keeping me out of the Fantasy Sports Channel on Blog Talk Radio. They told Blog Talk Radio that if Todd "The True Guru" Farino was on the Channel that they ALL would not be and they would split. I was as shocked as you probably are to hear that grown men would actually lower themselves to tactics that can compromise another person's business just because of personal arguments. Especially in an industry that requires everyone to work together and my track record of running web sites that for 4 years solely did just that, work together. Helping young, old, and new sites get exposure was my main goal and still is. I even helped Paul Greco get discovered. I found his blog site after it first launched in 2007 and I invited him to have a link on the home page of http://www.fantasybaseballsearch.com/ and to become our site's official blog. He accepted and within weeks he went from a zero Google page rank to a 4 and according to him my impact was huge in bringing in new visitors to a site that was only months old. Our relationship turned into a friendship and in April of 2007 I started appearing on Greco's radio show every week with the great Lenny Melnick. I was on nearly every show and even guest hosted a few times before I left the show in October. I only left because I had football to focus on and fantasy baseball was over. We even did football shows together later that year and I met Paul when he came to Vegas that summer of '07.

So what went wrong? I hate to rehash old garbage, but basically Paul was not happy when I decided in 2008 to launch The Fantasy Baseball Gurus Show, which I informed him in January, 2008. He then invited me to the now over discussed and tiresome Fantasy Baseball Mock Draft.

Here is a breakdown of what has happened since and then I'll give you the reasons for the boycott. Footnotes for sources are present at the bottom and marked with an asterisk in the article.




  1. February 25, 2008 - Paul trashed me badly at the Mock Draft*. I requested an apology, he refused. Maybe he did it cause I was the least known expert in the drat, maybe cause I left his show. He bashed no one but me.


  2. Early March, 2008 - I went on Paul's show** to defend my picks and Paul and Lenny teamed up on me further attacking me and asking me flat out false questions about Ryan Braun, like, "Do I still think he will steal allot of bases NOW that he is batting in front of Prince Fielder now?" Well, in 2007 he stole 18 of his 19 bases while batting in front of Fielder*. Apparently Greco didn't do his homework to know that.


  3. We did move on as Paul was part of my Fantasy Baseball Search expert league and I thought we had buried the hatchet since he sorta apologized in private.


  4. April 29th, 2008 - After listening to Talking Baseball and hearing Lenny Melnick say, "you were stupid to draft closers in the 4 or 5 rounds" (not verbatim) and feeling that comment was directed at me, I posted my thoughts on the value of closers in a blog post titled, "Closer Wars Heat Up: Us Vs. Them"***. This post heavily upset both Paul and Lenny because I challenged their theories and they felt I was not in the position as a lowly industry analysis to dare match wits with the great Melnick and Greco. LOL.

  5. In June I had a phone conversation with Paul and in part of the conversation I asked him why he keeps inviting mu co host on his show, but not me or RC. His answer, "Patrick is published. We consider him an expert. We do not consider you an expert." Wow, I was an expert when I did his show and when we were going to run expert leagues together, but now I'm not an expert? This is coming from a man who's claim to fame is scrounging off of Lenny Melnick's reputation and losing in Gillette's Rookie Reporter contest. I thought Paul was a veteran reporter, not a rookie! Talk about a step backwards!


  6. July 1, 2008 - Patrick DiCaprio leaves my show after Paul Greco asked him to work on their new web site launching in January 2009. Part of the deal was Patrick must leave my show ASAP. Why would Patrick not be able to stay on till September with the site not launching till January? I do not know, but I can guess Paul's immaturity and 4th grade tactics were involved.


  7. During the All-Star break Paul Greco quits my expert league posting about it with the hopes more would follow. It was more like the scene out of Jerry McGuire, but not even his secretary Patrick DiCaprio went with him. Nobody else quit. After I told him off, he posted taped messages I left on Patrick's voice mail after we got in a heated argument. Paul ALSO had attacked me several times in the expert league on the message board and accused my of all sorts of improper actions. All proven false of course and all ended up being very embarrassing for Paul. In fact, who takes a recorded message and posts it on his site and solicits people in the industry to listen to it. How childish and 4th grade level is that! Really?


  8. August 6th, 2008 After we went back and forth, I agreed to stop it at the request of my co hosts cause the fight was childish and a waste of my time. Patrick DiCaprio didn't think so and he put up a harsh post in his blog titled, "The Fall Of Jacoby Ellsbury"****. This article was posted while Jacoby Ellsbury was in a slump and also begged the question, "Did I qualify as an expert or should I even be called that anymore?" Well, Ellsbury got hot after that and ceased Patrick's worthless post and argument. I did not retaliate, trying to stop this BS and move on like an adult.


  9. In August my good friend Johnny Archive and I were viciously attacked on our show rating comments and chat rooms by a listener called R.A. Dickey, who we later found out through IP address chasing and other sources was Tony Cincotta. Tony is the man with a thousand aliases and at the time he was not getting along with either of us, so of course it was him. Tony also attacked my radio shows by giving them 1 star ratings on Fantasy Baseball Search, and after I banned his Yahoo! IM account from contacting me, he asked to join my friend list under the alias edorfred38, saying he was a iTunes listener named Ed H. He asked me baseball related questions and never said he was Tony. Why would he do that?


  10. In September the Fantasy Sports Channel launched on Blog Talk Radio and Johnny Archive and I were never invited. After several conversation with BTR customer relations and Tony Cincotta I found out that Paul was friends with Alan Levy (CEO Blog Talk Radio) and was put in charge of getting the shows for the channel. Him and Tony waged a campaign to keep Johnny and my shows out of the channel basing it on our relationship and saying I would cause problems. They even said that if I were allowed in tehy would leave the Fantasy Sports Channel. That's right me. I'd cause the problems, Not Paul and the man with a thousand alias'! I hadn't done anything in months, and if I did it was normally in response, not an attack. I had absorbed attacks by Tony and Patrick without doing anything. Hmmm. Those actiosn clearly showed that they care more about themselves and their own egos than they do the listeners or Blog Talk Radio. Even without the channel, my show is still one of the highest rated.


I left allot of details out cause I don't want this post to be a book, but you get the idea. I am asking for a boycott of Blog Talk Radio's Fantasy Sports Channel until they let us in and cease control of it from Paul and Tony. We deserve to be in there. I've been broadcasting on BTR since April of 2007 and they launched in January of 2007. I helped build the fantasy sports audience on the web site creating 4 shows and making guest appearances on countless others. My shows constantly remain in the top 20 shows (podcasts) in the sports section on Blog Talk Radio out of over 13,000+ shows! It is an injustice that I was kept out. With over 64,000 total listeners, 1.5 years in service, and 4 seasons of broadcasting I deserve to be in the Fantasy Sports Channel I helped build. Email BTR at service@blogtalkradio.com and tell them you are boycotting the Fantasy Sports Channel until The True Guru and others are let in. Blog Talk Radio is a great company and I have a tremendous amount of respect for them and what they are doing. However, they dropped the ball on this one and letting bad people like Paul Greco and Tony Cincotta make the decisions they did is just bad business. Especially when they base their decisions on prejudices and not what is right.


Check out our radio shows on Blog Talk Radio that are not in the Fantasy Sports Channel for all you Fantasy Football and Fantasy Baseball needs:


The Fantasy Football Gurus Show - http://www.blogtalkradio.com/The-Fantasy-Gurus


The Fantasy Football Scouting Report - http://www.blogtalkradio.com/Football-Scout


The Fantasy Baseball Gurus Show - http://www.blogtalkradio.com/the_true_guru


The Fantasy Baseball Scouting Report - http://www.blogtalkradio.com/Fantasy-Gurus-Networ


Footnotes and Sources:


* Mock Draft Central's Expert Draft February 25, 2008 hosted by Paul Greco


** Talking Baseball Live March 5, 2008 - hosted by Paul Greco


*** Closer Wars Heat Up: Us Vs. Them April 29th, 2008 written by Todd Farino


**** The Fall of Jacoby Ellsbury August 6, 2008, written by Patrick DiCaprio


Thursday, November 20, 2008

The Guru Gridiron Report: Week 12 Bench/Start Defenses


Hey everyone. With things getting very busy we are changing our weekly picks to our top 10 players in each position, the bottom 5 you must bench. We will base our numbers on our formula and the players FFS Fantasy Value Rating. (FVR).
Don't forget to catch our LIVE podcasts on Blog Talk Radio The Fantasy Football Scouting Report - http://www.blogtalkradio.com/Football-Scout every Tuesday at 9:30pm EST and The Fantasy Football Gurus Show - http://www.blogtalkradio.com/The-Fantasy-Gurus every Wednesday at 6:30pm EST. If you can't catch us live, catch the podcast, just click on the link to here the latest show!

TOP 15 DEFENSES YOU MUST START (Includes Special Teams)

  1. Pittsburgh - Always start them at home in the snow.
  2. Philadelphia - They will ground Flacco.
  3. Tampa Bay - The Tampa two will eliminate the passing game.
  4. Chicago - Will dominate and over power the Rams
  5. New York Jets - Will excel against Tennessee.
  6. Minnesota - Jacksonville's O-line is a mess.
  7. Green Bay - They are solid from top to bottom.
  8. Miami - Tough rival match they know very well. At home.
  9. New England Tough rival match they know very well.
  10. Tennessee A slug fest against the Jets. INTs and a TD will likely happen.
  11. Denver- Bad defense, but they are playing the worst offense Oakland at home.
  12. Washington - Playing well, but beat up. Seattle will make mistakes.
  13. Buffalo - They need to redeem themselves
  14. New York Giants - They will be in a shootout, but Warner will likely get sacked and throw INTS.
  15. Oakland - They have a great secondary and Denver has runningback issues.

TOP 5 DEFENSES TO BENCH

  1. New Orleans
  2. Houston
  3. San Diego
  4. St Louis
  5. Indianapolis

TOP 5 SLEEPER DEFENSES (Includes Special Teams)

  1. Cleveland - They looked great lst week, try them again this week for some turnovers and possible scores.
  2. Jacksonville - They need the win badly.
  3. Dallas - The defense is gelling and they are at home against San Francisco.
  4. Atlanta - They can and will show up bg in a divisional matchup.
  5. Seattle - They have Hasslebeck back, they are at home, and they are getting better. We think they can upset Washington and they will need allot from the defense.

Good luck. Next are our Runningbacks!

The True Guru

The Guru Gridiron Report: Week 12 Bench/Start Tight Ends


Hey everyone. With things getting very busy we are changing our weekly picks to our top 10 players in each position, the bottom 5 you must bench. We will base our numbers on our formula and the players FFS Fantasy Value Rating. (FVR).
Don't forget to catch our LIVE podcasts on Blog Talk Radio The Fantasy Football Scouting Report - http://www.blogtalkradio.com/Football-Scout every Tuesday at 9:30pm EST and The Fantasy Football Gurus Show - http://www.blogtalkradio.com/The-Fantasy-Gurus every Wednesday at 6:30pm EST. If you can't catch us live, catch the podcast, just click on the link to here the latest show!

TOP 10 TIGHT ENDS YOU MUST START

  1. Dallas Clark
  2. Antonio Gates
  3. Kevin Boss
  4. Tony Gonzalez
  5. Dustin Keller
  6. Bo Scaife
  7. Greg Olsen
  8. Jason Witten
  9. Heath Miller
  10. Donald Lee

TOP 5 TIGHT ENDS TO BENCH

  1. Kellon Winslow - He's out this week, so bench him.
  2. L.J. Smith
  3. Dante Rosario
  4. John Carleson
  5. Jeremy Shockey

TOP 3 SLEEPER TIGHT ENDS

  1. Marcedes Lewis - Jacksonville will throw often and Lewis is a favorite target.
  2. Anthony Fasano - We think this is a big game for him and a great matchup.
  3. Zach Miller - Denver can't stop anything in the air, so he's worth a try and should have a very good game.

Good luck. Next are our Defenses!

The True Guru

The Guru Gridiron Report: Week 12 Bench/Start Wide Receivers


Hey everyone. With things getting very busy we are changing our weekly picks to our top 10 players in each position, the bottom 5 you must bench. We will base our numbers on our formula and the players FFS Fantasy Value Rating. (FVR).
Don't forget to catch our LIVE podcasts on Blog Talk Radio The Fantasy Football Scouting Report - http://www.blogtalkradio.com/Football-Scout every Tuesday at 9:30pm EST and The Fantasy Football Gurus Show - http://www.blogtalkradio.com/The-Fantasy-Gurus every Wednesday at 6:30pm EST. If you can't catch us live, catch the podcast, just click on the link to here the latest show!

TOP 15 WIDE RECIEVERS YOU MUST START

  1. Larry Fitzgerald - He has the skills to break away from Giants defenders
  2. Andre Johnson - Big game Andre will be back this week.
  3. Reggie Wayne - Wow, a cream matchup for Wayne owners.
  4. Anquan Boldin - He'll get plenty of catches and should score once.
  5. Bradndon Marshall - He's talking allot, but will he score allot?
  6. Greg Jennings - Big Monday night game for Jennings.
  7. Plaxico Burress - He could have a 2 TD day if a shoot out happens.
  8. Braylon Edwards - He should have a breakout game against Houston at home.
  9. Terrell Owens - Hasn't done much lately, but you have to start him and he can explode.
  10. Chris Chambers - If he is 100% healthy he will have a big game.
  11. Dwayne Bowe - Should be active all day with a big passing game.
  12. Jerricho Cotchery - Farve will need him and use him in this game Vs. Tennessee.
  13. Randy Moss - Its a must win for the Patriots and Moss will do his part.
  14. Roddy White - He'll get a TD and 85 yards.
  15. Eddie Royal - He's becoming a top target of Cutler's. He should get a TD.
  16. Lance Moore - Quickly becoming a personal favorite for Brees.
  17. DeSean Jackson - He's too fast for the old Baltimore defense.
  18. Steve Smith - Great matchup for Smith. Could have a monster day.
  19. Rashied Davis - He's been quiet lately, but look for him to bust out of that week 12.
  20. Justin Gage - He's landed on the Radar! Start him.

TOP 5 WIDE RECEIVERS TO BENCH

  1. Vincent Jackson - As long as Chambers is back all the points go to the big three in San Diego.
  2. T.J. Houshmandzadeh - Pittsburgh will stuff the passing game
  3. Chad Johnson - Refer to player above.
  4. Calvin Johnson - The Tampa two will eliminate him.
  5. Lee Evans - Until he shows life, you can't trust him.

TOP 5 SLEEPER WIDE RECEIVERS

  1. Donnie Avery - He's lulled us all back to sleep, now watch him step up in week 12.
  2. Lavernues Coles - He is the target for Farve when they get to the red zone. He just needs to get open.
  3. Devin Hester - He is so overdue my spline is about to rupture.
  4. Donte Stallworth - With Winslow out he because the #2 man in Cleveland.
  5. Hank Basket - He has a gorgeous new fiance and next he will add another TD.

Good luck. Next are our Tight Ends!

The True Guru

The Guru Gridiron Report: Week 12 Bench/Start Runningbacks


Hey everyone. With things getting very busy we are changing our weekly picks to our top 10 players in each position, the bottom 5 you must bench. We will base our numbers on our formula and the players FFS Fantasy Value Rating. (FVR).
Don't forget to catch our LIVE podcasts on Blog Talk Radio The Fantasy Football Scouting Report - http://www.blogtalkradio.com/Football-Scout every Tuesday at 9:30pm EST and The Fantasy Football Gurus Show - http://www.blogtalkradio.com/The-Fantasy-Gurus every Wednesday at 6:30pm EST. If you can't catch us live, catch the podcast, just click on the link to here the latest show!

TOP 15 RUNNINGBACKS YOU MUST START

  1. Joseph Addai - He is back and looking to control the game against Indianapolis.
  2. Matt Forte - Playing a week Rams defense on turf.
  3. LaDainian Tomlinson - You can run all day on Indianapolis.
  4. Marion Barber - They will run with him 25 times. Should have a big game.
  5. Marshawn Lynch - Look for him to follow up his last game with another good one against Kansas City.
  6. Clinton Portis - If he is healthy he's a great start this week.
  7. Steve Slaton - If he is healthy look for a big game against Cleveland.
  8. Michael Turner - He will score and be used often in week 12.
  9. Ryan Grant - We like him late in the season at home. It his tie to shine.
  10. Adrian Peterson - He's magic and will find the holes in the Jacksonville defense.
  11. Frank Gore - Dallas has a solid run defense, but Gore will find some holes.
  12. Derrick Ward & Ahmad Bradshaw- If Ward & Bradshaw start for Jacobs they both can have very good games and both could easily score.
  13. Brian Westbrook - He's playing hurt, but he will play and he should put up some points against Baltimore.
  14. Willie Parker - Him and Moore will have tons of carries.
  15. Chris Johnson - They will need him to keep the Jets honest and he could break a big one.

TOP 5 RUNNINGBACKS TO BENCH

  1. BenJarvous Green-Ellis - Back to being a backup
  2. Willis McGahee - Philly won't give him anything to run with.
  3. Pierre Thomas or Duece McCallister - Neither will find any success against Green Bay in Lambeau.
  4. Tim Hightower - Look to start J.J. Arrington again cause Hightower may not get 5 carries!

TOP 5 SLEEPER RUNNINGBACKS

  1. P.J. Pope - One of the runningbacks filling in for the Denver Broncos. Could have a big game against Oakland.
  2. Peyton Hillis - He gets carries, but the carries are mainly goal line. You have to love that.
  3. Jamal Lewis - He hasn't done much lately, but should be very active against Houston's defense. 100+ should occur.
  4. Jerious Norwood - He'll find the end zone against Carolina this week. 70+ yards and 1 TD.
  5. Leon Washington - The Jets will need him to win and they will use him often.

Good luck. Next are our Wide Receivers!

The True Guru

Felix Jones Out For The Year, T. Choice Now #2

Reports out of Dallas are that Felix Jones is out for the year due to a toe injury he sustained while rehabbing his tweaked hamstring. Look for Tashard Choice to take his place on the depth chart.

This is bad for fantasy owners who were hoping to get Jones back for the playoff run. Now is the time to make your moves, so cut him if you got him. The Cowboys will not chance their #1 pick.

Todd "The True Guru" Farino

The Guru Gridiron Report: Week 12 Bench/Start Quarterbacks


Hey everyone. With things getting very busy we are changing our weekly picks to our top 10 players in each position, the bottom 5 you must bench. We will base our numbers on our formula and the players FFS Fantasy Value Rating. (FVR).
Don't forget to catch our LIVE podcasts on Blog Talk Radio The Fantasy Football Scouting Report - http://www.blogtalkradio.com/Football-Scout every Tuesday at 9:30pm EST and The Fantasy Football Gurus Show - http://www.blogtalkradio.com/The-Fantasy-Gurus every Wednesday at 6:30pm EST. If you can't catch us live, catch the podcast, just click on the link to here the latest show!

TOP 10 QUARTERBACKS YOU MUST START

  1. Philip Rivers - Big matchup, big game. 3 TDs.
  2. Peyton Manning - Same matchup vs San Diego, 2-3 TDs
  3. Eli Manning - We are assuming Jacobs won't play. 260 yards and 2-3 TDs if he doesn't.
  4. Drew Brees - He's always big for scores. 300 yards and 2-3 TDs
  5. Kurt Warner - He will be in a shootout with Manning. Look for 300 yards and 2 TDs
  6. Aaron Rodgers - Great Monday night matchup. Big game for him, 275 and 2 TDs
  7. Tony Romo - His pinkie feels better and he's in Dallas. 240 yards and 2 TDs
  8. Jay Cutler - Continue the comeback. He'll hit two receivers against Oakland and strike for 225 yards.
  9. Sage Rosenfels - His receivers over match Cleveland's secondary. Look for 225 yards and 1-2 TDs
  10. Brett Farve - He will beat Tennessee. They need him to come up big. 210 yards and 2 TDs.

TOP 5 QUARTERBACKS TO BENCH

  1. Ryan Fitzpatrick - No chance against Pittsburgh defense.
  2. Gus Frerotte - Jacksonville will overpower his offensive line.
  3. Ben Roethlisberger - Depends on the weather.
  4. Joe Flacco - Philadelphia will blitz all day
  5. Shaun Hill - The Cowboys will come to play at home.

TOP 5 SLEEPER QUARTERBACK

  1. David Garrard - Big game for the Jaguars. Garrard will tear up the pass defense of Minnesota for 250 yards and 2 TDs, maybe 3.
  2. Brady Quinn - He has a great matchup and he's looked
  3. Matt Cassel - Look for him to get 180-200 yards and 2 TDs.
  4. Marc Bulger - Great start. He will have to pass against the Bears and can score.
  5. Kerry Collins - They will need to pass, so expect Collins to do so and get 200 yards and a TD or 2.

Good luck. Next are our Runningbacks!

The True Guru

NEW IDEA FOR NFL OVERTIME

NEW IDEA FOR NFL OVERTIME
By Andy Benoit, www.NFLTouchdown.com

You hear two common complaints about the NFL overtime format. The first, which has risen to the surface this week, is that games shouldn’t end in a tie. The second, which has been prevalent for many years, is that the sudden death format is unfair. Before getting to how the NFL can improve this situation, let’s first be willing to understand the situation.

Why does the NFL have ties? The main issue is player safety. League officials believe that an elongated game of such violence can lead to excessive injuries. They’re probably right. But if you don’t care about that, or you don’t believe the NFL when they say this, consider this: tie games are not unfair – they’re just not fun. Don’t mistake a bad game for an unfair game. If two teams remain neck-and-neck for five quarters of play, does either really deserve to lose? How about if two teams stay tied for six quarters? What about seven quarters? Eight quarters? Nine? What about 100?

People will say that a tie game results in nothing. That’s not true. It results in a half-game difference in the standings. This serves as an excellent playoff tiebreaker – a tiebreaker that one could easily argue is fairer than a divisional record or head-to-head record (which can sometimes decide a final playoff spot). Let’s get hypothetical. Say the Eagles and Saints are tied for the last playoff spot, but Philly beat New Orleans earlier in the season in a game that Drew Brees sat out. How fair would it be to award the Eagles the playoff spot on these merits? My point here is, a tie game isn’t any more unfair than certain playoff tiebreaking scenarios – a tie game is just not climactic in the short run.

The overtime situation could be worse – the NFL could implement the ridiculous Kansas City Overtime rule (like you see in college). Any true football fan would rather see a tie game than a game decided by what amounts to “halfcourt football.” The K.C. O.T. format eliminates special teams, field position and the deep ball from the equation. It makes for an entirely different sport.

This is the point where people say, “Okay, fine, but I’d still rather see teams play a second overtime rather than just walk off the field undecided.” Or, this is the point where people might say, “What does the NFL care about fairness if they’re willing to let overtime be decided by a coin flip?”

Well, you’re not going to outright solve both problems because the NFL is not going to abolish ties (for the reasons we just discussed). But you can eliminate the coin flip problem by having the first possession be determined by which team has either the most total yards or the most yards per play in that game.

Now, before you rebut, let me explain. A lot of people will say, “Why not keep it simple and just guarantee each team one possession? Why not allow a team to have a shot at matching an opponent’s score?” Because doing this would significantly increase the number of tie games. What happens if a team scores a touchdown after a five-minute drive, then the next team matches it after their own four-minute drive? Now the teams are still tied, only instead of 15 minutes to play, there are six. Yes, I find ties to be a necessity; that doesn’t mean I want to see more of them.

Visit www.NFLTouchdown.com to continue reading

True Guru Scouting Report: Matt Cassel & Brett Farve



We wanted to cover these three players, especially before week 12 because they are changing in value rapidly. We've done allot of scouting on these guys this season and recently and this is what we have for you.

Matt Cassel QB, New England Patriots FVR: 8.4 - @ Miami week 12. This will be a tough matchup for Cassel. He has been rapidly improving, so allot of owners are considering starting him. Our view is to be very careful in your selections. Cassel will certainly get some points, but he is still relatively unknown as to what he will do and is still inconsistent. Back in week three the much less expereinced Cassel only threw for 131 yards and a TD and 1 pick. We expect much better numbers this week, but don't expect some huge game. We are looking for 180, and 1-2 TDs. He's a solid start, but won't explode. We do like Cassel's matchups weeks 14-16 (Playoff weeks) where he faces Seattle, Oakland, and Arizona. He could help you win a championship. Maybe everything will be OK in the world with a New England quarterback leading you to a championship?

Brett Farve QB, New York Jets FVR: 8.4 - @ Tennessee. If anyone can beat the Titans, it's the NY Bretts. We were very high on Farve coming into the season and he's been wild most of the year and somewhat inconsistent. The good thing is in many cases its not his fault. Take the St. Louis game. That game was over 10 minutes in and passing wasn't really much of an option at 40-0. He has also under performed because he wasn't quite on the same page in the playbook with his team. However, that has now changed and Farve is sparkling. We expect 250 yards and 2 TDs from Farve. The Titans will limit Jones's production forcing Farve to pass. He also has a nice playoff schedule with @ San Francisco, Vs. Buffalo, and week 16 @ Seattle. He's could start all 3 games for you fantasy team.