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Wednesday, October 31, 2007

The True GURU Has a 2-1 week in his Fantasy Football Leagues!

Week 8 was a tough week to contend with. Not only was I fighting off one of the worst BYE weeks of the season, but the injury bug hit me in 2 of the 3 leagues. With all of that it was just too much and I fell for the first time in my FOX Sports league. I did manage to pull off the biggest win of the season in the CBS League and I'm now alone in first place in my division. The Yahoo! league I still stand at 8-0 with some tricky play and some serious luck. The bust this week for me was Anthony Gonzalez. I picked him up and started him in every league to fill in for BYE week losses and he did squat.

FOX Sports League - Peaceful Warriors (5-3) 90.2 - LV Cowboys (7-1) 85.4
I made the classic mistake in this league that all experts and regular managers make. I went against my gut feeling for a big payoff, big fallout player. I actually benched M. Colston in favor of Anthony Gonzalez. Colston scored 23+ points, and Gonzalez 1.6. I only lost by 5 points, so there is my first defeat in this league in a nutshell.
CBS Sportsline - LV Cowboys (6-2) 156 - Go Bog or Go Home (5-3) 122
This was a critical match up against the team that was tied with me for the division lead. I had two of my best players on a BYE week in Marion Barber and Larry Fitzgerald. Despite that I got a great game from Derek Anderson, Brian Westbrook, Braylon Edwards, and Antonio Gates and easily pulled out this victory. Next week will be the NEW biggest match up of my season and the last. I play The GOAT and as you can see he's 1 game out of the division lead and is the current points leader. Of course he has Tom Brady. I will match him with either Jon Kitna or Derek Anderson.Yahoo! League LV Cowboys (8-0) 68.53 - DamKids (4-4) 65.21
This was a great matchup. Again, I was hammered by the BYE week and was without Tony Romo and had to go with my backup Carson Palmer. I also was without Jones-Drew. This game went all the way to Monday with Damkids having Green Bay's starting RB D. Wynn and I had no one left and was nursing a 3-4 point lead. Wynn only got 1 yard that game as was knocked out with a season ending injury. With that I was able to hold off the near upset and maintain my perfect season.

Monday, October 29, 2007

Week 8 The True GURU Picks & Sleepers In Review

Week 8 was a much better week for us then week 7 with our expert calls. It Our sleepers were weak, and with 2 players that were basically inactive there isn't much to talk about. Look at the end of the post to go over that. Here are the numbers on our calls:
QB's 13/17 Correct ( 77%)
RB's 12/21 Correct (57%)
WR's 16/24 Correct ( 67%)
TE's 7/13 Correct (54%)
DEF's 13/18 Correct (72%)

OVERALL THIS WEEK: 61/93 Correct (66%) Last week 52/86 Correct (60%)
"Start at your own risk "calls or players that did not play due to injuries were not counted.

Last week, was our worst week of the 2007 season and this week with an overall average of 66% correct calls we improved and got much closer to the standard average we are looking to have of 70%. This week we did amazing on QBs, but RBs and TEs killed us.
Here is the review of our picks and how they stacked up:


QUARTERBACKS (13/17 77%)

1st Tier Quarterbacks WE RECOMMENDED AS MUST Start:
We recommended 6 QB's as must starts. All 6 had amazing games except for Eli Manning. I'm not sure what his problem was, but the rain didn't help. Only 59 yards passing against Miami is ridiculous. You should get that on the first drive. Derek Anderson and Rivers were somewhat risky picks as MUST starts and they performed exactly how we expected. Brett Farve is for real and isn't going anywhere.


2nd Tier Quarterbacks WE RECOMMENDED You have to Start:
We had solid sccess here. Cutler, Brees, and Big Ben did very well. We were disappointed with Kitna and Palmer. We expected much more from both.

4th Tier Quaterbacks WE RECOMMENDED MUST BENCH:
We recommended benching 5 QB's and we hope you did. Garcia's game was admirable, but was beat out by so many more performances it just wasn't worth it.


RUNNINGBACKS (12/21 55%)

1st Tier Runningbacks WE RECOMMENDED MUST Start:
Tough calls this week. LT didn't do bad, but certainly didn't do enough. Adrian Peterson disappointed for the first week in awhile. Stephen Jackson was having a great game before he got hurt, but we consider him a success as we do not predict injuries. Willie Parker and Jacobs were great.

2nd Tier Runningbacks WE RECOMMENDED You have to Start:
Out of the 8 picks we made in this tier only Westbrook and Lendall White shined. The Green Bay RB shuffle produced Grant with 104 yards, and Reggie Bush had over 120 total yards. Not much else here.


4th Tier Runningbacks WE RECOMMENDED MUST BENCH:
We recommended benching 7 RBs this week., the most we've ever had. All but 2 were correct. We got burned by Kevin jones big time. Chatman didn't have an amzing game, but 100 total yards and 3 catches isn't bad at all.

Hopefully you kept Ron Dayne, Thomas Jones, Ron Dayne, Clinton Portis, and Kevin Faulk on the bench.

WIDE RECEIVERS (16/24 67%)
1st Tier Wide Receivers WE RECOMMENDED MUST Start:
We had solid success in our 1st tier of WRs, which totaled 11 picks. Plaxico Burress was a major disappointment for the first time this season. Marques Colston had an amazing game and did far better than we expected. Edwards and Wayne also came through, but we had several bad starts including Holmes, Driver, and Coles. Both Holt and Moss had a TD, so produced as expected.
2nd Tier Wide Receivers WE RECOMMENDED You have to Start:
T.J. Houshmandzadeh, Greg Jennings Wes Welker, Hines Ward, Joey Galloway, and Lee Evans came up big here. The rest don't matter with those guys. Chad Johnson is turning into a major dissappointed.

4th Tier Wide Receivers WE RECOMMENDED MUST BENCH:
We recommended benching 3 WRs, and we were on target with all of them.
Last week Donte Stallworth burned us, not this week.

TIGHT ENDS (7/13 67%)



Tight Ends To Start:
Cooley, Clark, and Gates had great games, especially Gates with 2 TDs. Health Miller took the week off apparently. Shockey got caught up in the London game with Eli Manning and had little.

2nd Tier Tight Ends You have to Start:
All failures. Bad picks.

Tight Ends To BENCH:
We recommended benching Bubba Franks,
David Martin, and Daniel Graham. We hope you did!


DEFENSES (13/18 72%)

1st Tier Defenses MUST Start:
Our defensive picks did great in the first tier. New England was awesome as usual

2nd Tier Defenses You have to Start:
We did sloid here. Tampa Bay, Minnesota, and Chicago let us down.

4th Tier Defenses MUST BENCH:

Hopefully you benched Atlanta, Philadelphia, Washington, Carolina, St. Louis, Pittsburgh, and Cincinnati. Buffalo burned us.

SLEEPERS (5/10 50%)

Sometimes there just isn't 10 good sleepers, but we try our best every week to give you those 10. We went 5/10 this week, but even our successes weren't anything super to talk about expect Bulger and

Marc Bulger STL (QB) - 310 yards and a TD. Not bad.

Jason Wright CLE (RB) - Jamal Lewis played, and we expected that.

Derrick Ward NYG (RB) - Was inactive.

Shaun McDonald DET (WR) - 6 catches, 64 yards. Better than allot of WRs. Right? Namely, Chad Johnson.

Detroit (DEF) - PLayed well against Chicago giving up only 7 points.

Randy McMicheals STL (TE) - I don't even know why we pick TEs as sleepers. 2 catches, 39 yards.

Tony Scheffler DEN (TE) - Oh yea, this is why we pick TEs as sleepers.

Chad Pennington NYJ (QB) - Got benched and deservedly so.

Vincent Jackson SAN (WR) - Was non-existent in this game.

Jets (DEF) - The Jets defense played well and gave up the one bomb to Evans. Not much else to talk about in this game.

Thursday, October 25, 2007

Week 8 Sleepers GURU Style!

Again another brutal BYE week is upon us with so many valuable fantasy players sitting, this is a week when we really need some sleeper gold.

Here are 10 sleepers we think could help your team win in week 8:

Marc Bulger STL (QB) - Sleeper? Yea. He's been cut in nearly 65% of the leagues and would be a great pick up if your QB is on the BYE. He's playing Cleveland and looks to get into a shootout with Derek Anderson. If Bulger can stay on his feet look for 300 yards and 2 TDs.

Jason Wright CLE (RB) - Watch the status of Jamal Lewis. If he doesn't go, this guy has a shot at the Rams defense. His last performance netted 100 total yards and a TD. Expect the same.

Derrick Ward NYG (RB) - Yea he's losing carries to Jacobs, but against Miami this game could be a blow out real quick and Ward could break one at any moment against the league's worst rush defense. Look for Ward to get 80+ yards and a TD. More if he gets allot of garbage time.

Shaun McDonald DET (WR) - He's had several bad games in a row, but with Chicago's weaker pass defense trying to hold off the big Detroit wideouts, look for McDonald to overmatch the secondary of Chicago and find the end zone and 90 yards.

Detroit (DEF) - Detroit is playing the Bears on the road and is capable of making plays. There defense is solid even though the passing numbers don't confirm that. If they catch Griese on a bad day look for a big game out of this defense.

Randy McMicheals STL (TE) - This guy has burned us all year, but we think he will put up some solid numbers this week. We aren't saying touchdown, but we think he will see plenty of balls thrown his way and one could end up in the end zone. If your TE is on a BYE week, pick up this guy and give him a shot.

Tony Scheffler DEN (TE) - Again, many TE's on the BYE. This guy is a Red Zone target and against Green Bay could come up big. Cutler is relying more on his TE's with Javon Walker out, so, grab this guy if your TE isn't playing this week. Look for a 2-3 catches and a TD.


Chad Pennington NYJ (QB) - This guy is playing for his job. Thank God its at home against Buffalo. We expect him to have another good game and throw 2 TDs with 240 yards.

Vincent Jackson SAN (WR) - With Chambers entering the picture and taking attention for at least the first week we see Jackson getting some serious attention

NY Jets (DEF) - The Jets defense is playing a rookie QB on a weak team at home. They desperately need a win and should come through big. If you need a defense give these guys a try.


Good luck this week!

Week 8 START/BENCH players GURU Style!

Week 8 brings another tough BYE with several top fantasy players not playing including Tony Romo, T.O., Larry Fitzgerald, Larry Johnson, and Shaun Alexander.
Automatically bench any players on the following teams:
Kansas City Chiefs, Atlanta Falcons, Dallas Cowboys, Arizona Cardinals, Seattle Seahawks, and Baltimore Ravens
(Sleepers will not appear in this blog. If you do not see a player, read our sleeper blog for this week.)

QUARTERBACKS
1st Tier Quarterbacks MUST Start:
Tom Brady
Derek Anderson
Eli Manning
Peyton Manning
Brett Farve
Phillip Rivers
2nd Tier Quarterbacks You have to Start:
Drew Brees
Jon Kitna
Jay Cutler
Carson Palmer
Ben Roethlisberger
Brian Griese
3rd Tier Quarterbacks Start At Your Own Risk (Big Payoff or Big Fall):
Donovan Mcnabb -
Collins/Young -
Trent Edwards
4th Tier Quarterbacks MUST BENCH:
Jeff Garcia
Daunte Culpepper
Cleo Lemon
Jason Campbell
Alex Smith

RUNNINGBACKS
1st Tier Runningbacks MUST Start:
.
Brandon Jacobs
Willie Parker
Adrian Peterson
Stephen Jackson
LaDainian Tomlinson
2nd Tier Runningbacks You have to Start:
Marshan Lynch
Starting Green Bay RB - Whether its Wynn, Jackson, or Morency start him
Reggie Bush
Lendall White
Brian Westbrook
LaMont Jordan
Earnest Graham
Frank Gore
3rd Tier Runningbacks Start At Your Own Risk(Big Payoff or Big Fall):
Joseph Addai/Kenton Keith - With them splitting time, who will get the carries and the scores? You have to start Addai, right?
Travis Henry - Playing against the Green Bay defense. He is at home, and makes him a solid start, but a risky one.
Maurice Jones-Drew - He's hurting and playing a slid Tampa defense, so that combined makes him a risky start. Watch his status.
Cedric Benson - This is another favorable match up for Benson, the problem is he's had plenty ad been a massive disappointment every time. We say start him, and give it one more chance. Anyone can score on the Lions.
4th Tier Runningbacks MUST BENCH:
Thomas Jones
Ron Dayne
Kevin Jones
Clinton Portis
Laurence Maroney/Kevin Faulk
Jesse Chatman

WIDE RECEIVERS
1st Tier Wide Receivers MUST Start:
Plaxico Buress
Randy Moss
Laveranues Coles
Reggie Wayne
Roy Williams
Torry Holt
Marvin Harrison
Santonio Holmes
Donald Driver
Braylon Edwards
Marques Colston
2nd Tier Wide Receivers You have to Start:
Lee Evans
T.J. Houshmandzadeh
Chad Johnson
Benard Berrian
Wes Welker
Jerricho Cotchery
Joey Galloway
Muhsin Muhammad
Greg Jennings
Hines Ward
Kevin Curtis
3rd Tier Wide Receivers Start At Your Own Risk(Big Payoff or Big Fall):
Santana Moss - Playing New England you know Washington will pass. The big question is can Campbell get the ball to his receivers and pass the New England defense.
Brandon Marshall - You know Cutler has to pass, and they have to pass to Marshall. I'd start him, but the risk is Green Bays' solid defense.
Antwaan Randle El - Playing New England you know Washington will pass. The big question is can Campbell get the ball to his receivers and pass the New England defense.
Issac Bruce - He's playing hurt, but Bulger loves him and they will be in a shootout with Cleveland.
4th Tier Wide Receivers MUST BENCH:
Donte Stallworth
Kevin Walter
Ronald Curry


TIGHT ENDS
1st Tier Tight Ends MUST Start:
Jeremy Shockey
Chris Cooley
Dallas Clark
Antonio Gates
Heath Miller
Kevin Winslow
2nd Tier Tight Ends You have to Start:
Desmond Clark
Bo Scaife
Eric Johnson
Kyle Brady
3rd Tier Tight Ends Start At Your Own Risk(Big Payoff or Big Fall):
LJ Smith - Where has he been? Again, WHERE? Minnesota has holes that Smith can find.
Vernon Davis - Smith is coming back, but can Davis get on track?
Greg Olson - He's worth a start, but Clark has a major edge on him this week.
4th Tier Tight Ends MUST BENCH:
Bubba Franks
David Martin
Daniel Graham
DEFENSES
1st Tier Defenses MUST Start:
Tennessee
Indianapolis
NY Giants
New England
2nd Tier Defenses You have to Start:
Minnesota
Tampa Bay
Chicago
Green Bay
New Orleans
Jacksonville

3rd Tier Defenses Start At Your Own Risk:
Oakland - Held the Chiefs to 12 points, and Kerry Collins is due for a bad game cause he already had his good game.
San Fransico - The play solid and will be tested by New Orleans, but the Sanits have been very bad on offense, and San Fran is at home.
Denver - At home and Monday night. We smell a bad game from Brett Farve, but its a serious gamble.
Cleveland - They are bad and on the road, but they are facing a St. Louis offense with NO offensive line, and a soso Bulger and Jackson.
4th Tier Defenses MUST BENCH:
Atlanta
Philadelphia
Washington
Carolina
St. Louis
Buffalo
Pittsburgh
Cincinnati


We are no longer going to do kickers. They are way to hard to predict. and most teams only have one anyway. If you need to find a kicker cause of a BYE week base your decisions on 3 factors:
1. Is the kicker kicking in a Dome? (that's good)
2. Is the Defense the kicker facing a tough defense?
3. Is the kicker's offense very good?

Watch for our week 7 sleepers coming next!

Listen at 6:30 pm PST every Thursday on Blogtalkradio.com for the Fantasy Football GURU Show with AJ Pelletier, Mike Bowser, and weekly guests. This Saturday we will be discussing a overview of last weeks games, give you advice on who to start THIS week, and go over rumors and injuries. As always we will discuss our weekly sleeper picks. Join us! Call in for questions at (646) 716-9203 or email us at guru@fantasyfootballsearch.com . TO logon to our radio show goto The Fantasy Football Guru Show!. Click on the Click to Listen button and you are all set

Tuesday, October 23, 2007

The True GURU is back to a 3-0 Week in the leagues!

We are back to perfect weeks with another 3-0 week, and the championship season continues. Currently my total record for all three leagues is 19-2. In two of the leagues I am undefeated at 7-0. Check out my league information at www.fantasyfootballsearch.com/guru_leagues.html

This was a tight week where I had many BYEs and poor match ups. In 2 leagues I had Barber Vs Minnesota, I had Westbrook Vs. Chicago., and Kitna playing against Tampa Bay. I also had B. Edwards, A. Gates, Kellen and Winslow(2 Leagues). Even with all that and more I had allot of luck and pulled out three tough wins. Here they are


CBS Sportsline
LV Cowboys 146.5 - TexBengals 133.4

This was a tough match up. I went into the Monday night game with the only player left in this match up and a 20 point deficit. That player was the Colts defense. 30+ points that night, what a comeback. Marion Barber was also huge here. Kitna screwed me getting a season low 17 points. This would have been a blow out if I got more than 1 TD from my whole team. Marion Barber was my only TD as Chad Johnson, Larry Fitzgerald, Brian Westbrook, and Dwayne Bowe were held scoreless. Gates D. Anderson, and Braylon Edwards were all on a BYE.


FOX Sports
LV Cowboys 70.3 - CHI TOWN 56.5

This match up was tough till Monday Night again. I went into Monday night down by 33+ points with P. Manning, R. Wayne, and Jones-Drew left. I knew I'd get enough to win and I did. Manning was solid, and Jones Drew dropped in a TD. This was a tough match, but in the end another win.

Yahoo!
LV Cowboy - 100.83 The Lost Boys 85.6
This wasn't a fun game. I had Jones-Drew left for the final game and he had Manning and Wayne. I had a 30 point lead, and had to hold off the two guys I needed to score in my FOX Sports league. It worked out perfect, as Jones Drew scored and held off his Manning attack. The Dallas defense can up big for me along with Brandon Jacobs. This one wasn't close ever, but was scary.

Next week I have one of the toughest and most important matchups of the year so far. In the CBS Sportsline league I'm playing Go Big or Go Home who is currently tied with me for first in our division. He has allot of BYEs, but I will be without Larry Fitzgerald, Dwayne Bowe, and Marion Barber.

Week 7 The True GURU Picks & Sleepers In Review

Week 7 has been here and is gone. It was a subpar week for us. Our sleepers were terrible. Here are the numbers on our calls:
QB's 8/17 Correct ( 47%)
RB's 14/20 Correct (70%)
WR's 12/21 Correct ( 57%)
TE's 8/12 Correct (67%)
DEF's 10/16 Correct (63%)

OVERALL: 52/86 Correct (60%)
"Start at your own risk "calls or players that did not play due to injuries were not counted.

We had the worst week of the 2007 season this week with an overall average of 60% correct calls. QBs and WRs really killed us.
Here is the review of our picks and how they stacked up:


QUARTERBACKS (8/17 47%)

1st Tier Quarterbacks WE RECOMMENDED AS MUST Start:
We recommended 6 QB's as must starts. Jon Kitna who has proven his inconsistency bombed big time this week. Carson Palmer only found the end zone once when we were expecting 3 TDs. Romo played well even though he only got 1TD. 31 completions is great with 277 yards. Garcia was a great call with 2 TDs and over 300 yards. I need not mention how good Brady was. Every sports channel in the world took care of that.


2nd Tier Quarterbacks WE RECOMMENDED You have to Start:
We had big failures here. Huard, Garrad, and Campbell were terrible, while McNabb was ok. Brees and the Manning brothers had very good games and we hope OF COURSE you started them.


4th Tier Quaterbacks WE RECOMMENDED MUST BENCH:
We recommended benching 5 QB's and we gt burned on on two of them, Kurt Warner and Jay Cutler. We hoped you listened and benched Trent Edwards, Cleo Lemon, and Matt Shaub.

RUNNINGBACKS (14/20 70%)

1st Tier Runningbacks WE RECOMMENDED MUST Start:
We found our best success of the week with RBs. In the first tier we found success accept for Thomas Jones and Joseph Addai. We really expected Addai to get more carries. Willie Parker didn't find the end zone, but got 131 total yards and 4 receptions. All the other RBs found the end zone and had great games.

2nd Tier Runningbacks WE RECOMMENDED You have to Start:
We had many 2nd tier Runningbacks this week. Our successes were B. Jacobs with over 100 yards and a TD, Lendall White, Maurice Jones-Drew, and even Brian Westbrook who we have come to expect lots of yards and catches, but few TDs. Norwood/Dunn, Edgerrin James, and LaMont Jordan were complete let downs this week.

4th Tier Runningbacks WE RECOMMENDED MUST BENCH:
We recommended benching 7 RBs this week, the most we've ever had. All but 2 were correct. Marshan Lynch had a great game and even though Portis only got 43, he managed to get 2 TDs.
Hopefully you kept Ron Dayne, Kevin Jones, Julius Jones, Travis Henry, and Derrick Ward on the bench.

WIDE RECEIVERS (12/21 67%)
1st Tier Wide Receivers WE RECOMMENDED MUST Start:

We had great success in our 1st tier of WRs. We told you to start T.J. Houshmandzadeh, Terrell Owens, Plaxico Buress, Randy Moss, Laveranues Coles , Reggie Wayne, and Dwayne Bowe.
Patrick Crayton , Chad Johnson, and Roy Williams did not have good weeks.

2nd Tier Wide Receivers WE RECOMMENDED You have to Start:
We never expect as much from our 2nd tier WRs has we do from our 1st tier. Larry Fitzgerald,
Wes Welker, and Jerricho Cotchery had great games. All of the following let us down having subpar games:
Bobby Engram
Torry Holt
Marvin Harrison
Marques Colston
Shaun McDonald
Joey Galloway
Santana Moss


4th Tier Wide Receivers WE RECOMMENDED MUST BENCH:
We recommended benching 3 WRs, and we were wrong on 1 of them, Donte Stallworth.
Javon Walker had surgery on his knee after we made our called, and Lee Evans was a bust.


TIGHT ENDS (8/12 67%)


Tight Ends To Start:
From the start this was a tough week for TEs. Benjamin Watson ended up sitting out with an injury. Whitten, Shockey, and Clark had great games.. Chris Cooley did not.
2nd Tier Tight Ends You have to Start:
Desmond Clark, Alge Crumpler, David Martin were all bad this week. Heath Miller had 2 TDs and was awesome. Tony Gonzalez was solid, but not good enough.

Tight Ends To BENCH:
We recommended benching Randy McMichaels, Greg Olson, and
and Bo Scaife. We hope you did!

DEFENSES (10/16 63%)
1st Tier Defenses MUST Start:
Baltimore was a major let down this week, and so was Pittsburgh. Chicago and Tampa Bay had solid performances, while the NY Giants were off the charts.

2nd Tier Defenses You have to Start:
Philadelphia was solid, and Tennessee played a great 3 quarters, and a terrible 4th. Denver stunk it up as well. New Orlenas, Detroit and of Course New England all performed well with New England getting 2 TDs!

4th Tier Defenses MUST BENCH:

Hopefully you benched Miami, Atlanta, Jacksonville, Tampa Bay, Cincinnati, and NY Jets. Minnesota had a good game and got a TD, so we called that one wrong.

SLEEPERS (3/10 30%)

Houston DEF (Def) - Good Call. Even know they gave up 38 points on 8 field goals, they did scroe a Touchdown, get 3 fumbles, and a sack. Not bad for a sleeper.

David Patten (WR) - BAD PICK. Last week we gave up on Devrey Henderson, and this week he gets the TD.

Dallas (DEF) - Great game. A TD, and only gave up 1 TD.

Chad Pennington (QB) - 3 TDs, and a ton of yards. Great call!

Kevin Faulk (RB) - Bad call. All Brady, all the time.

Cedric Benson (RB) - BAD CALL. I've lost all faith in this guy.

Antwaan Randle El (WR) - Tough Game, bad call.

Charles Johnson (WR) - I threw up watching this game. BAD CALL.
Benard Berrian (WR) - Weak game, not a god call.

Owen Daniels (TE) - 36 points and this guy get 2 catches for 20 yards. BAD CALL!

Thursday, October 18, 2007

Week 7 Sleepers GURU Style!

This is another heavy BYE week with the best TE and RB out of action, along with several QBs and WRs. Here are the sleepers we found this week, and there isn't many.


David Patten WR - He's been getting more and more looks from Brees and with Henderson falling off look for Patten to surprise against Atlanta.

Chad Pennington QB - Pennington will be in a shootout with Palmer. He will be able to throw against Cincy's defense and it Coles and Cotchery. Look for 2-3 TDs and 250 yards.

Owen Daniels TE- Houston is up against Tennessee. Daniels should find the end zone.

Kevin Faulk RB - If you didn't already pick this guy up. Hop on him. He will see plenty of playing time in New England.

Cedric Benson RB - It all or nothing for this guy and against Philly he can run. Look for 100 yards and a TD.

Benard Berrian WR - We think Griese will have problems against the Eagles defense, but he should find Berrian open often and for a TD.

Dallas Defense DEF - Minnesota won't know what hit them. Dallas is mad, at home, and out to hurt.

Houston Defense DEF- With or without Vince Young, The Texans D should have a big game.

Charles Johnson WR - He's back and will wreak havoc on the small corners in Tampa.

Antwaan Randle El WR - He will steal the show against Arizona while Moss is being double covered.

Good Luck!

Week 7 START/BENCH players GURU Style!

Week 7 brings a tough, but managable, but tough BYE with only 4 teams that have some serious inpact players that will be riding your pine this week including LaDainian Tomlinson.

Automatically bench any players on the following teams:
San Diego Chargers, Carolina Panthers, Green Bay Packers, and Cleveland Browns.
(Sleepers will not appear in this blog. If you do not see a player, read our sleeper blog for this week.)

QUARTERBACKS
1st Tier Quarterbacks MUST Start:
Jon Kitna
Carson Palmer
Matt Hasselbeck
Tony Romo
Tom Brady
Jeff Garcia

2nd Tier Quarterbacks You have to Start:
Drew Brees
Donovan Mcnabb
Peyton Manning
Eli Manning
Damon Huard
David Garrad
Jason Campbell
3rd Tier Quarterbacks Start At Your Own Risk (Big Payoff or Big Fall):
Tim Rattay - He's got a week under his belt and Fitz to throw too. If Boldin comes back even better.
Marc Bulger - He should be starting and if he does he could come out firing.
Ben Roethlisberger - Playing in Denver is dangerous for Big Ben, and we don't recommend him this week, but the Broncos do allow points.
Daunte Culpepper - The 5 TD game was a fluke, but he is in Oakland.
Klye Boller - He has shown flashes of brilliance and is facing a soft defense, but he is still Kyle Boller.
4th Tier Quarterbacks MUST BENCH:
Trent Edwards
Kurt Warner (if he plays)
Cleo Lemon
Matt Shaub
Jay Cutler

RUNNINGBACKS
1st Tier Runningbacks MUST Start:
.
Larry Johnson
Willie Parker
Joseph Addai
Adrian Peterson
Reggie Bush
Thomas Jones
2nd Tier Runningbacks You have to Start:
Norwood/Dunn
Brandon Jacobs
Lendall White
Brian Westbrook
Maurice Jones-Drew
Edgerrin James
LaMont Jordan
3rd Tier Runningbacks Start At Your Own Risk(Big Payoff or Big Fall):
Ronnie Brown - New England's defense is tight and will shut down the pass easily and take a huge lead. He still can run though.
Laurence Maroney - He supposely will play, but even if he does he may not see too much action. However, the New England RB's can score often.
Marion Barber - Playing against the toughest run defense in the NFL. However, he does catch passes, and can score from the 1 yard line.

4th Tier Runningbacks MUST BENCH:
Marshan Lynch
Ron Dayne
Kevin Jones
Julius Jones
Travis Henry
Clinton Portis
Derrick Ward

WIDE RECEIVERS
1st Tier Wide Receivers MUST Start:
T.J. Houshmandzadeh
Chad Johnson
Terrell Owens
Patrick Crayton
Plaxico Buress
Randy Moss
Laveranues Coles
Reggie Wayne
Dwayne Bowe
Roy Williams

2nd Tier Wide Receivers You have to Start:
Larry Fitzgerald
Santana Moss
Wes Welker
Jerricho Cotchery
Bobby Engram
Torry Holt
Marvin Harrison
Deion Branch
Marques Colston
Shaun McDonald
Joey Galloway
3rd Tier Wide Receivers Start At Your Own Risk(Big Payoff or Big Fall):
Derrick Mason - Doesn't hav Mcnair.
Benard Berrian - Is poised for a breakout game, but can Griese handle Philly's pressure?
Ronald Curry - Daunte is no McKnown. But if McKnown plays....
4th Tier Wide Receivers MUST BENCH:
Donte Stallworth
Javon Walker
Lee Evans



TIGHT ENDS
1st Tier Tight Ends MUST Start:
Jason Whitten
Benjamin Watson
Tony Gonzales
Jeremy Shockey
Chris Cooley
Dallas Clark
2nd Tier Tight Ends You have to Start:
Desmond Clark
Alge Crumpler
Tony Gonzales
Heath Miller
David Martin
Eric Johnson
3rd Tier Tight Ends Start At Your Own Risk(Big Payoff or Big Fall):
LJ Smith - Where has he been? Could find space in Chicago's secondary.
Todd Heap - He has an injury and that makes him a risk to play.
Vernon Davis - New QB, and coming off injury. The offense needs him involved.

4th Tier Tight Ends MUST BENCH:
Randy McMichaels
Greg Olson
Bo Scaife
DEFENSES
1st Tier Defenses MUST Start:
Baltimore
Pittsburgh
Chicago
Tampa Bay
Giants
2nd Tier Defenses You have to Start:
Philadelphia
Tennessee
Denver
New Orleans
New England
Detroit
NY Giants

3rd Tier Defenses Start At Your Own Risk:
Seattle - If Bulger is rusty it will be a good game.
Oakland - KC will be tough, so this is one I'd steer clear of.
Buffalo - They are good at home and facing a backup QB.
Kansas City - A much better team at home, yet its Culpepper...
San Fransico - Probably won't get much luck on the road.


4th Tier Defenses MUST BENCH:
Miami, Atlanta, Jacksonville, Tampa Bay, Cincinnati, Minnesota, and NY Jets.

We are no longer going to do kickers. They are way to hard to predict. and most teams only have one anyway. If you need to find a kicker cause of a BYE week base your decisions on 3 factors:
1. Is the kicker kicking in a Dome? (that's good)
2. Is the Defense the kicker facing a tough defense?
3. Is the kicker's offense very good?

Watch for our week 7 sleepers coming next!

Listen at 6:30 pm PST every Thursday on Blogtalkradio.com for the Fantasy Football GURU Show with AJ Pelletier, Mike Bowser, and weekly guests. This Saturday we will be discussing a overview of last weeks games, give you advice on who to start THIS week, and go over rumors and injuries. As always we will discuss our weekly sleeper picks. Join us! Call in for questions at (646) 716-9203 or email us at guru@fantasyfootballsearch.com . TO logon to our radio show goto The Fantasy Football Guru Show!. Click on the Click to Listen button and you are all set

Wednesday, October 17, 2007

Perfect Week Streak Ends for The True GURU with 2-1 Week 6!!

Well the streak of perfect weeks ended at 3 as I was taken down in the CBS Sportsline league and by a division foe at 0-5. There was an obvious reason for my loss. With Jon Kitna and Frank Gore on the BYE I started Kurt Warner (Over Derek Anderson), and Jason Wright. Wright did OK, but Warner got me nothing, and with Larry Fitzgerald on my team, it cost me there as well. So, chalk it up as bad luck. I remained undefeated in my other leagues, so lets see the games:


CBS Sportsline - Da Bears 181 - LV Cowboys 120
Again, my QB was out early, Kurt Warner, and I suffered from allot of BYEs.

Yahoo! League LV Cowboys 107 - Wildcats1192 93
This was a fairly exciting game. I did have Manning on the start Romo and Maurice Jones-Drew and had excellent results. On Monday I had a 18 point lead with Plaxico Vs Jacobs. Jacobs got me 9 points to Plaxico 13.7.


FOX Sports League: LV Cowboys 87.6 Bayou Bengals 67.9
This was an easy win against my friend Kih who is fading quickly in this league, but representing well in the CBS League. Manning, and Jones-Drew, along with Colston and Curtis led me to victory here.

My total record in all three leagues over 6 weeks slipped to 14-2! Still looking good.

Tuesday, October 16, 2007

Week 6 The True GURU Picks & Sleepers In Review

Week 6 has been here and is gone. It was a pretty good week for us. Here are the numbers on our calls:
QB's 8/13 Correct ( 62%)
RB's 14/21 Correct (67%)
WR's 14/21 Correct ( 67%)
TE's 6/12 Correct (50%)
DEF's 12/16 Correct (75%)

OVERALL: 54/83 Correct (65%)
"Start at your own risk "calls or players that did not play due to injuries were not counted.

We had a OK week with our calls. Again we had great success on defenses calling them correct at 75%, but failed on TEs. WR and RBs predictions were solid with getting 67% out of each. Finally, QBs were below average at 62% correct calls. McNabb and Rivers did the damage there. Overall 65$ correct out of 83 calls is very solid. Below is the review:

Here is the review of our picks and how they stacked up:


QUARTERBACKS (8/13 62%)

1st Tier Quarterbacks WE RECOMMENDED AS MUST Start:
We recommended 5 QB's as must starts. Palmer, Brady, and Romo were great, but McNabb, and Rivers were let downs this week.


2nd Tier Quarterbacks WE RECOMMENDED You have to Start:
Farve and Pennington were disappointments, and Warner left the game with an injury. That being said, Hasselbeck was outstanding, and Garcia and Manning were very solid.

4th Tier Quaterbacks WE RECOMMENDED MUST BENCH:
We only recommended benching 2 QB's and both were successful. One didn't start (Carr) and that was a good thing.

RUNNINGBACKS (14/21 67%)

1st Tier Runningbacks WE RECOMMENDED MUST Start:
There were allot of good RB's to start this week. Ronnie Brown had over 170 total yards and 9 receptions and Willis Mcgahee got 70 and a TD. Other great performances for out to Larry Johnson (Congrats on your first TD), Westbrook, and 4 TD's from LT! Rudi Johnson, Marion Barber, and Jacobs were disappointments.


2nd Tier Runningbacks WE RECOMMENDED You have to Start:
Again, many 2nd tier runningbacks. Maurice Jones-Drew was phenomenal, along with Derrick Ward and E. James having great games. Lamont Jordan nearly had a career day, while Reggie Bush put up 140 total yards. Bad performances were DeShaun Foster, and Sammy Morris, who got hurt against Dallas.

4th Tier Runningbacks WE RECOMMENDED MUST BENCH:
Julius Jones did little or nothing, while Cedric Benson has become a joke, and the Green Bay RB's amassed 48 yards and TD. Nothing to write home to mom about. Portis was sad as usual with a fumble, and Leonard wasn't anything this week as we expected. Thomas Jones had 130 yards running and the Tennessee RB's got a TD and nearly 100 yards, so they burned us. Not by allot, but burned us.
WIDE RECEIVERS (14/21 67%)
1st Tier Wide Receivers WE RECOMMENDED MUST Start:
Braylon Edwards and TJ Houshmandzadeh had great games, along with Terrell Owens, Donte Stallworth, and Plaxico Buress.we and Fitzgerald had awful games, and were disappointments.

2nd Tier Wide Receivers WE RECOMMENDED You have to Start:
Berrian and Colston finally got in the end zone, and Patrick Crayton scored for the 3rd straight week. Randy Moss didn't do a ton, but got a TD. Mason, Coles, and Cotchery were huge disappointments. However Engram had a great game with 9 catches and 120 yards, but no TDs.
Kevin Curtis has a huge 75 pass TD and over 100 yards for a awesome day, and finally Donald Driver had a bad day with less than 40 yards receiving.

4th Tier Wide Receivers WE RECOMMENDED MUST BENCH:
If you benched Vincent Jackson, James Jones, and Jerry Porter than you did real good.
TIGHT ENDS (6/12 50%)

Tight Ends To Start:
Tight Ends were not a factor this week in many games. Winslow had a solid game, but LJ Smith, Whitten, Gates, and Watson were bad. Jeremy Shockey was solid or a Tight End on a bad TE week.
2nd Tier Tight Ends You have to Start:
Tony Gonzalez with 2 TD's and Cooley with 1 TD were great, but Bo was nowhere to be found.

Tight Ends To BENCH:
We only recommended benching Bubba Franks, Owen Daniels, Alge Crumpler. We hope you did!
DEFENSES (12/16 75%)
1st Tier Defenses MUST Start:
Baltimore, Jacksonville, and Tampa Bay were all solid, but Minnesota and Chicago were bad. Chicago did get a special teams TD.

2nd Tier Defenses You have to Start:
New Orleans, Philly and Tennessee showed up and played well, but Houston and Seattle stunk!

4th Tier Defenses MUST BENCH:

Hopefully you benched Miami, Cleveland, Cincinnati, Kansas City, and NY Jets.

SLEEPERS (7/10 70%)

Overall our sleepers were EXCELLENT. Calling Adrian Peterson against the Bears and Derek Anderson were great calls. We did screw up on a couple of WRs. We expected allot more from Brown and Jennings, but got squat. Cleo Lemon was another surprise call, and despite not scoring a TD, the San Diego defense had a great game. The Bears TE's were a toss up, but after watching how terrible TE's were this week, 8 total catches for over 100 yards isn't bad. We got 7 out of 10 correct for a 70% success rate. Here are the reviews:


Cleo Lemon (QB) - Great CALL! Had a huge game, 256 yards and 2 TDs.

Devery Henderson (WR) - Bad pick. This guy is fading with Patten emerging.

Adrian Peterson (RB) - AMAZING GAME, and our call of the week. 224 yards and 3 TDs.
Benard Berrian (WR) - Got his first TD and looked very good.
Jason Wright (RB) - Score and tacked on nearly 100 total yards.

Reggie Brown (WR) - Terrible game, aweful call.
Greg Jennings (WR) - Tough Game, bad call.
San Diego Chargers Defense - 2 INT's, 5 sacks, a funble, and only 14 points very good game.
Derek Anderson (QB) - GREAT CALL! 4 TD's and 245 yards. you can't do much better.
Desmond Clark/ Greg Olsen (TE) - Combined for 111 yards and 8 catches. Maybe that is good for you and maybe not.