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Thursday, November 29, 2007

Week 13 Sleepers GURU Style!

Week 13 is suppose to be the bad luck week, but we have 10 good sleepers for you this week. Here we go:

Trent Dilfer QB, (SAN) - He did well last week, and this week he should do just as well against Carolina. Look for 2 TDs and 225 yards.

Lendal White RB, (TEN) - He was bad last week and looks to bounce back against a soft Houston defense. We see 100+ yards and a TD.

Selvin Young RB, (DEN) - With Hall hurt this game belongs to Young, which many managers are probably overlooking. He will own the Oakland defense to a tune of 125 yards and 2 TDs.

Patrick Crayton WR, (DAL) - He's been quiet lately, but will find the end zone again with at least 4 catches and 60 yards.

Bobby Engram WR, (SEA) - With Hackett out Engram should get allot of looks. He will also find the end zone.

Vernon Davis TE, (SAN) - Dilfer knows how to find him and will find him 5 times for a TD and 65 yards.

Reggie Williams WR, (JAC) - Garrard will be in a shootout with Manning. He won't keep up with him, but he should find Reggie Williams for a TD, maybe 2.

St. Louis DEF - This is a great match up for them against Atlanta. If you need a good plug in defense look to these guys.

NY Jets DEF - They are playing Miami and we see a DTD or even a STTD from the Jets. Miami cannot score, and shouldn't score much.

Sidney Rice WR, (MIN) - This guy has 4 TDs on the year and will look to pad his stats against a week Detroit secondary. T. Jackson will throw to him all day and find him in the end zone 1-2 times. This should be a big game for Rice.

Good Luck!

Week 13 START/BENCH players GURU Style!

Week 12 brings tough match ups for the good QBs and RBs, but provides for WRs and TES. Does that make sense? Yes, and we will show you.
(Sleepers will not appear in this blog. If you do not see a player, read our sleeper blog for this week.)

QUARTERBACKS
1st Tier Quarterbacks MUST Start:
Drew Brees
Peyton Manning
Ben Roethlisberger
Derek Anderson
Tony Romo
Kurt Warner
Phillip Rivers
2nd Tier Quarterbacks You have to Start:
Matt Hasslebeck
Tom Brady - This is not Brady's best week. He'll throw maybe 2 TDs and 275 yards.
Matt Schaub
Eli Manning
David Garrard
Jason Campbell
Jon Kitna
Brett Farve
Jeff Garcia
Jay Cutler
3rd Tier Quarterbacks Start At Your Own Risk (Big Payoff or Big Fall):
Carson Palmer - In Pittsburgh. He's getting better, but I think this will be more of a grudge match. Starting Palmer is a tough call, but you have too.
Marcc Bulger - He's hurt and if he's smart he won't play this week. He has a good match up, but one hit could take him out. I'd stay away.
Trent Edwards - Washington is hurting from the loss of a fellow teammate. They will be playing this game for Taylor, but how much heart will they have, and how badly will they miss Taylor as a shutdown safety?
Harrington - I would never recommend starting Harrington, so the risk is simple. Good match up on turf, but he's Joey.
Kellen Clemens & John Beck - 2 bad defenses and to bad teams. Miami will get its first win of the season, and we think these two guys will throw allot. We don't recommend starting them unless you are in a super deep 14 team league or something like that.
Drew Brees - If Haynesworth plays, Brees will be in trouble against Tennessee on the road. However, he has played well. Watch if Haynesworth plays and make your decision based on that.
Kyle Boller - After what AJ Feely did, why not Boller and at home!
4th Tier Quarterbacks MUST BENCH:
Rex Grossman
Duante Culpepper
Vince Young
Brodie Croyle
Philadelphia QB

RUNNINGBACKS
1st Tier Runningbacks MUST Start:
.
Willie Parker
Joseph Addai
Maurice Jones-Drew
Brian Westbrook - Check injury status
Stephen Jackson
LaDainian Tomlinson
2nd Tier Runningbacks You have to Start:
Reggie Bush
Adrian Peterson (Chicago)
Jamal Lewis
Marion Barber
Willis McGahee
Kevin Faulk
Ernest Graham
Justin Fargas
Thomas Jones
Clinton Portis
Frank Gore
Kolby Smith
3rd Tier Runningbacks Start At Your Own Risk(Big Payoff or Big Fall):
Derrick Ward - If he plays in a solid #2 Runningback. Start him.
Adrian Peterson (Minnesota) - If he's plays he won't get all the carries and will probably go easy on his knees. On the other hand its Detroit and he could have a filed day. Choose wisely.
Warrick Dunn - Dunn can own the Rams and take over the game. The question is, do you trust him? We think you should.
Maurice Morris - He'll get his carries, but don't be surprised if the Eagles hold him and force Hasslebeck to pass more. Consider him a low #3 runningback this week.
Edgerrin James - You tell me? Good match up, but Arizona passes way too much.
4th Tier Runningbacks MUST BENCH:
Jessie Chatman
Kevin Jones
Ron Dayne
Julius Jones
Rudi Johnson/K. Watson
Ron Grant
DeShaun Foster
Chester Taylor
Laurence Maroney

WIDE RECEIVERS
1st Tier Wide Receivers MUST Start:
Larry Fitzgerald
Roy Williams
Joey Galloway
Hines Ward
Santonio Holmes
Terrell Owens
Reggie Wayne
Torry Holt
Donald Driver
Andre Johnson
T.J. Houshmandzadeh
Plaxico Burress
Braylon Edwards
Santana Moss
Anquin Boldin
Wes Welker
Randy Moss
2nd Tier Wide Receivers You have to Start:
Chad Johnson
Marques Colston
Chris Chambers
Roddy White
Brandon Marshall
Greg Jennings
Amani Toomer
Ronald Curry
Calvin Johnson
Santana Moss
Chris Henry
Deion Branch
Justin Gage
Shaun McDonald
Isaac Bruce
Jerricho Cotchery
Steve Smith
Benard Berrian
Donte Stallworth
Joe Jurevicius
Anthony Gonzalez
3rd Tier Wide Receivers Start At Your Own Risk(Big Payoff or Big Fall):
Lee Evans - Edwards is starting and that's not good for Evans. However, Washington is without its best defensive player and can be passed on.
Dwayne Bowe - He's got the rookie throwing to him, but a soft defense. Its a hard call. We like the match up, just worry about the QB.
Kevin Curits - This is a great match up for Curtis, but we don't know which QB will throw to him and if he can get the ball in his hands. Very risky.
4th Tier Wide Receivers MUST BENCH:
Brandon Stokley
Marty Booker
David Patten
Antwaan Randle El
M. Muhammad
Jerry Porter
Vincent Jackson

TIGHT ENDS
1st Tier Tight Ends MUST Start:
Chris Cooley
Jason Whitten
Donald Lee
Antonio Gates
Leonard Pope
Heath Miller
Kevin Winslow
2nd Tier Tight Ends You have to Start:
Tony Gonzalez
Jeremy Shockey
Dallas Clark
Bo Scaife
LJ Smith
Tony Scheffler
3rd Tier Tight Ends Start At Your Own Risk(Big Payoff or Big Fall):
Tod Heap - I never know if this guy is playing. If he is, he could have a nice game against New England.
4th Tier Tight Ends MUST BENCH:
Eric Johnson
Alge Crumpler
Desmond Clark
Randy McMichaels
Marcus Pollard
Mercedes Lewis
Chris Baker
DEFENSES
1st Tier Defenses MUST Start:
Seattle
New England
Pittsburgh
San Diego
2nd Tier Defenses You have to Start:
Tennessee
Dallas
NY Giants
Houston
Detroit
Indianapolis
Philadelphia
Minnesota
Chicago
Tampa Bay
3rd Tier Defenses Start At Your Own Risk:
Washington - This defense is playing the the death of its best player. Its really hard to deal with that, andlose such a valuable memeber of the team. We do expect hem to come out and play the best game of their lives.
Atlanta - If Bulger is out, play them. If he's in, bench them.
Kansas City - Its a good match up for them, but in the end they have a rookie QB so they could be on the field allot.
4th Tier Defenses MUST BENCH:
San Francisco
Baltimore
Jacksonville
Oakland
Arizona
New Orleans
Denver
Green Bay
Miami
Carolina
Cleveland
Cincinnati
Buffalo


We are no longer going to do kickers. They are way to hard to predict. and most teams only have one anyway. If you need to find a kicker cause of a BYE week base your decisions on 3 factors:
1. Is the kicker kicking in a Dome? (that's good)
2. Is the Defense the kicker facing a tough defense?
3. Is the kicker's offense very good?

Watch for our sleepers coming next!

Listen at 6:30 pm PST every Wendsday on Blogtalkradio.com for the Fantasy Football GURU Show with AJ Pelletier, Mike Bowser, RC, and weekly guests. This Wednsday we will be discussing a overview of last weeks games, give you advice on who to start THIS week, and go over rumors and injuries. As always we will discuss our weekly sleeper picks. Join us! Call in for questions at (646) 716-9203 or email us at guru@fantasyfootballsearch.com . To logon to our radio show or listen to a replay of the show goto The Fantasy Football Guru Show!. Click on the Click to Listen button and you are all set

Tuesday, November 27, 2007

The True GURU Wins All 3 Games in Week 12! 31-5 Overall!




Week 12 was a great week full of tough match ups. I managed to win in all three leagues and tacked on another 3-0 week. I clinched my final playoff berth spot that I could in the FOX Sports league with a 10-2 record and 2 games left. In the Yahoo! league I remained 12-0 and I've kept the dream undefeated season alive. This week I face a good team and an ol' rival PACKERS. Funny, its the same week my Cowboys play his Packers. In the CBS League I cemented my already fantastic season with a great win over an old friend. I've had the top score in this league 2 of the last 3 weeks, and as far as my division goes the last 3 weeks.
Lets checkout the results. Overall for the season I'm 31-5:

FOX Sports League - LV Cowboys (10-2) 125.5 - Bayou Bengals (3-9) 52.6
My FOX league team clinched a playoff berth with a decisive blowout over a weak yet rival opponent in the Bayou Bengals. Beat down with injuries, this is the same manager who commands the CBS Sportsline league with The GOAT team. I had outstanding performances finally from my Colts in Manning and Wayne. Marion Barber also came through along with my Chicago defense. As you can see by the score, my team played well.


CBS Sportsline - Lv Cowboys (9-3) 208.84 - TITS (4-8) 168.87
This match was much closer than it looked. TITS was loaded with 4 Turkey Day players and I only carried Marion Barber and he exploded with a huge lead going into Sunday with Manning leading the way. I stormed back early Sunday with Chad Johnson and Derek Anderson, but I put it away when he lost Benson and Gates caught 2 TDs. Westbrook closed out over Hines Ward for the big win.

Yahoo! League - LV Cowboys (12-0) 126.01 - Manticores (1-11) 92.2
I had a considerably easy match this week compared to the last few weeks and the next two weeks. Tony Romo opened this week great for me, along with Chad Johnson. With those two I was carried to victory. Next week will be the toughest challenge of the season for me in this league against the Packers who have won 4 straight and have such a good team I'm not the favorite. The injury bug has been hitting me. I was without Jacobs and Lynch last week, and it looks like I'll lose them this week along with Hackett. I did get Deion Branch back.




Listen at 6:30 pm PST every Wednesday on Blogtalkradio.com for the Fantasy Football GURU Show with AJ Pelletier, Mike Bowser, RC, and weekly guests. This Thursday we will be discussing a overview of last weeks games, give you advice on who to start THIS week, and go over rumors and injuries. As always we will discuss our weekly sleeper picks. Join us! Call in for questions at (646) 716-9203 or email us at guru@fantasyfootballsearch.com . To logon to our radio show goto The Fantasy Football Guru Show!. Click on the Click to Listen button and you are all set.

Monday, November 26, 2007

Week 12 The True GURU Picks & Sleepers In Review

Week 12 was a great week for us at least from a consistency point-of-view. We averaged over 60% in all categories including 74% in correctly called QBs. With 116 picks (A record for us), we were correct on 68% of them. We have been hovering around the 65% range, which is good, but we are still trying to gt to the golden pot and break back into the 70% range. Since we are calling games on Wed we don't always know all the injuries. We will try to put a check injury status next to possibly hurt players. Others we just won't call for the week since its too up in the air. Sometimes we may not know for sure if a QB will start. We recommended benching Cleo Lemon. We were pretty sure Beck was going to play, so we wanted to make sure Lemon was benched. As for not calling Beck. I really didn't feel like wasting my time telling the readers to bench Beck against the Steelers.

Our sleepers were excellent this week with 6.5 (See below on the .5) successful calls out of 10. We are very pleases getting 65% of our sleepers correct, which in our eyes is incredibly good for sleepers.


Here is a rundown for week 10 with all the numbers:
QB's 14/19 Correct ( 74%)
RB's 14/21 Correct (67%)
WR's 25/40 Correct ( 63%)
TE's 9/15 Correct (61%)
DEF's 17/27 Correct (63%)

OVERALL THIS WEEK: 79/116 Correct (68%) Last week 72/111 Correct (64%) "Start at your own risk "calls or players that did not play due to injuries were not counted.

Here is the review of our picks and how they stacked up:


QUARTERBACKS (14/19 74%)

1st Tier Quarterbacks WE RECOMMENDED AS MUST Start:
We were 6/9for 73% here. Most of the top QBs had a great week. Eli Manning, Big Ben, and Matt Hasslebeck had tough weeks. The other six had 2 or more TDs.

2nd Tier Quarterbacks WE RECOMMENDED You have to Start:
We had amazing success here with 6 out of 7 QB's having great games with the only let done being Marc Bulger who left the game with a concussion. Palmer, Rivers, and Farve had awesome days.

4th Tier Quaterbacks WE RECOMMENDED MUST BENCH:
We recommended benching 3 QB's and got burned by Trent Dilfer. I have a feeling everyone did.


RUNNINGBACKS (14/21 67%)

1st Tier Runningbacks WE RECOMMENDED MUST Start:
This wasn't the best week for top notch RBs. We recommended 8 and only 4 came through. Marion Barber, Maurice Jones-Drew, and Ron Grant had stellar performances. Reggie Bush and Lendal White our heroes from USC were major busts.

2nd Tier Runningbacks WE RECOMMENDED You have to Start:
We were much improved here with 7 out of 9 correct calls to start at runningback. Brian Westbrook, Willis McGahee, LaDainian Tomlinson, Ernest Graham, Chester Taylor, and Justin Fargas had great games. Cedric Benson was a bust, but left the game with a season ending knee injury.

4th Tier Runningbacks WE RECOMMENDED MUST BENCH:
Again, Jamal Lewis has burned us. Wow. All the rest you hopefully benched.


WIDE RECEIVERS (25/40 63%)

1st Tier Wide Receivers WE RECOMMENDED MUST Start:
In this tier we gave you 13 WR's to start and 5 let us down for the second week in a row. Those 5 were BIG names like Andre Johnson, T.J. Houshmandzadeh, Randy Moss, Torry Holt, and Anquin Boldin had BUST games. Larry Fitzgerald and Greg Jennings came up big.


2nd Tier Wide Receivers WE RECOMMENDED You have to Start:
This tier had 16 picks and we only got 50% right. Wow, outside of great performances by Chad Johnson, Benard Berrian, and Issac Bruce there isn't a whole lot more to talk abut. Just terrible.

4th Tier Wide Receivers WE RECOMMENDED MUST BENCH:
We recommended benching 8 WRs, and we were on target all, but two for the second straight week. Roddy White and Arnez Battle burned us. I don't think we will say that again this season.

TIGHT ENDS (9/15 61%)

Tight Ends To Start:
We got 4/8 in this tier. Tightends didn't do much this week. Chris Cooley
Dallas Clark, Jason Whitten, and Kevin Winslow had great games.

2nd Tier Tight Ends You have to Start:
We did better in this tier picking 3/5 correct. Antonio Gates stands out here, along with Tony Scheffler.

Tight Ends To BENCH:
We recommended benching Vernon Davis, Desmond Clark, and Alge Crumpler again this week. This time we got burned by Vernon Davis and the hot new Dilfer-to-Davis connection.
DEFENSES (17/27 63%)

1st Tier Defenses MUST Start:
We did well in this tier with 7/9. 5/8 correct. Arizona and Seattle were busts, and New England did poorly, but did get turnovers and scored a DTD.

2nd Tier Defenses You have to Start:
Ok, where do we start. We got 2 out of 7 right. Those were Tampa Bay and Washington ans we aren't bragging about those calls. Just terrible.

4th Tier Defenses MUST BENCH:

We told you to bench 11 defenses in fear of heavy scoring. 2 burned us and had good performances. Believe it or not those two teams were Miami (in heavy rain) and Cincinnati. Yeah...

SLEEPERS 6.5/10 65%)

Oakland, DEF - 17 points, under 300 yards, 3 sacks, FF, and INT. Not bad for a one shot start.

Chris Chambers, SAN (WR) - 5 catches for only 22 yards, but he got his TD.

Anthony Gonzalez, IND (WR) - 6 catches for 105 yards, we will take that. We hoped for the TD, but he did well.

Kellen Clemens, NYJ (QB) - We expected more against the Cowboys. He was over matched and outplayed.

Vince Young, TEN (QB) - Disappointment of the week. Allot of readers said this wasn't a sleeper. THEY WERE RIGHT!

Kolby Smith KAN, (RB) - 150 yards and 2TD's. GREAT CALL!

Frank Gore, SAN (RB) - I knew he was due to explode. 148 yards and 2 TDs.

James Jones, Green Bay (WR) - In a reception point league 5 catches for 75 nets you 10 points. Here is the .5 in our average. He was kinda good. HE OUTPLAYED RANDY MOSS!

Ron Dayne , HOU (RB) - 85 total yards isn't anything to bragg at.

David Garrard - 300 yards and a TD. I'll take that!


Thursday, November 22, 2007

Week 12 Sleepers GURU Style!

Here are the week 12 sleepers. We have plenty of good ones for you. We hope to get at least 7/10 for you guys, but 10/10 would be awesome. Here we go:


Oakland, DEF - This defense is ragged, but has talent. They are facing a rookie QB and RB. Look for some success for Oakland including 3-4 turnovers and a possible TD.

Chris Chambers, SAN (WR) - He hasn't had much success in San Deigo, but we feel that will change this week. Look for 90 yards and a TD.

Anthony Gonzalez, IND (WR) - Its him and Wayne. He hs to get allot of looks and he'll catch some. Check his injury status. He should be good to go, and good for a TD.

Kellen Clemens, NYJ (QB) - The Jets will fall behind the Cowboys and you can throw on them. He will be forced to throw the ball 35-40 times and show get 1-2 TDs and 275 yards.

Vince Young, TEN (QB) - He is facing Cincinnati. That has to be good. If he is going to pull out of his funk, this is the week.

Kolby Smith KAN, (RB) - He's a rookie, but facing a horrible defense. If he can hold onto the ball he should rack up 120 yards and a TD.

Frank Gore, SAN (RB) - He's been mostly bad this season, but we feel he poised for a great game and Arizona is in his sites.

James Jones, Green Bay (WR) - He's facing Detroit, and could find some open looks. Look for a TD.

Ron Dayne , HOU (RB) - He's stepping in for Green and should have a solid game against a weak Cleveland run defense.

David Garrard - We see him having a big game vs Buffalo. Look for 2-3 TDs (Running and Passing), and 300 yards. Buffalo cannot contain anyone.

Happy Thanksgiving!

Week 12 START/BENCH players GURU Style!

Week 12 brings many tough match ups as good defenses are piled up against good offenses. The results are low fantasy points. No fear there are still plenty of good match ups to consider like the Jets at Dallas or Philly at New England.
(Sleepers will not appear in this blog. If you do not see a player, read our sleeper blog for this week.)

QUARTERBACKS
1st Tier Quarterbacks MUST Start:
Tom Brady
Drew Brees
Peyton Manning
Eli Manning
Ben Roethlisberger
Derek Anderson
Tony Romo
Matt Hasslebeck
Matt Schaub
2nd Tier Quarterbacks You have to Start:
Phillip Rivers
Jon Kitna
Brett Farve
Kurt Warner
Carson Palmer
Marc Bulger
Jay Cutler
3rd Tier Quarterbacks Start At Your Own Risk (Big Payoff or Big Fall):
Duante Culpepper - At this point I wouldn't start or touch this guy.
Jeff Garcia - The Washington secondary is tough and will be head hunting after getting burned by Dallas. Not a good match up for Garcia.
Rex Grossman - We actually like this match up and he's at home. If you need a desperate QB start, what the heck. Give him a hot.
4th Tier Quarterbacks MUST BENCH:
Trent Dilfer
Joey Harrington/Byron Leftwich
Cleo Lemon

RUNNINGBACKS
1st Tier Runningbacks MUST Start:
.
Willie Parker
Joseph Addai
Marion Barber
Maurice Jones-Drew
Ron Grant
Reggie Bush
Lendal White
Maurice Morris
2nd Tier Runningbacks You have to Start:
Stephen Jackson
Brian Westbrook
Willis McGahee
LaDainian Tomlinson
Ernest Graham
Justin Fargas
Chester Taylor
Cedric Benson
DeShaun Foster
3rd Tier Runningbacks Start At Your Own Risk(Big Payoff or Big Fall):
Edgerrin James - This game has shootout written all over it. He may get 10-12 carries. He can catch some passes, but doubtful.
Kevin Jones - This guy is hit or miss. Detroit will have to mix things up to beat Green Bay, so they have to ball control and run allot. We thin he's a great start this week, but again its hit or miss.
Rudi Johnson - He's having a terrible year, but at some point this team has to have a good game. Tennessee is not the ideal match up, but he could do well.
Selvin Young - His primary risk is how many carries will he give up to Andre Hall. Otherwise he is a solid start this week.
4th Tier Runningbacks MUST BENCH:
Jessie Chatman
Jamal Lewis
Clinton Portis
Warrick Dunn
Thomas Jones

WIDE RECEIVERS
1st Tier Wide Receivers MUST Start:
Larry Fitzgerald
Hines Ward
Terrell Owens
Reggie Wayne
Torry Holt
Greg Jennings
Andre Johnson
T.J. Houshmandzadeh
Plaxico Burress
Braylon Edwards
Marques Colston
Anquin Boldin
Wes Welker
Randy Moss
2nd Tier Wide Receivers You have to Start:
Roy Williams
Joey Galloway
Chad Johnson
Amani Toomer
Ronald Curry
Santana Moss
Chris Henry
DJ Hackett
Patrick Crayton
Deion Branch - (Check his injury status)
Shaun McDonald
Isaac Bruce
Jerricho Cotchery
Brandon Stokley
Steve Smith
Benard Berrian
Donte Stallworth
3rd Tier Wide Receivers Start At Your Own Risk(Big Payoff or Big Fall):
Lee Evans - He's good and can burn New England. I think Buffalo will give them a run for their money.
Donald Driver - We think Farve will have a hard time in Detroit. When he throws TDs it will likely b Lee or Jennings getting the TDs.
Dwayne Bowe - He's got the rookie throwing to him, but a soft defense. Its a hard call. We like the match up, just worry about the QB.
Brandon Marshall - On the road against the Bears. We see lots of hand-offs. Bench.
Bobby Engram - If Branch is back and with the emergence of Hackett, Engram's looks will fall off quite a bit.
Derrick Mason - I have no idea what Baltimore is doing, but its not good for Mason.
David Patten - For NOW he's fallen off the map.
Calvin Johnson - Has potential for a good game, but can be over matched by the aggressive Green Bay defense.
Lee Evans - Loseman will be running for his life the whole game. That doesn't bode well for Evans, buthe can still catch a bomb or 2.
4th Tier Wide Receivers MUST BENCH:
Arnez Battle
Marty Booker
Antwaan Randle El
M. Muhammad
Jerry Porter
Vincent Jackson
Roydell Williams
Roddey White

TIGHT ENDS
1st Tier Tight Ends MUST Start:
Chris Cooley
Dallas Clark
Bo Scaife
Jason Whitten
Donald Lee
Heath Miller
Kevin Winslow
Jeremy Shockey
2nd Tier Tight Ends You have to Start:
Tony Gonzalez
Antonio Gates
LJ Smith
Tony Scheffler
Eric Johnson
3rd Tier Tight Ends Start At Your Own Risk(Big Payoff or Big Fall):
Todd Heap - Big risk. His quarterback isn't there and he's rusty.
Leonard Pope - He can catch TD passes, but nothing else. BIG RISK.
4th Tier Tight Ends MUST BENCH:
Vernon Davis
Alge Crumpler
Desmond Clark
DEFENSES
1st Tier Defenses MUST Start:
Seattle
New England
Dallas
Arizona
Chicago
Pittsburgh
San Diego
Jacksonville
Indianapolis
2nd Tier Defenses You have to Start:
Tennessee
Kansas City
Denver
Tampa Bay
Green Bay
Baltimore
Washington
3rd Tier Defenses Start At Your Own Risk:
New Orleans - Another risky week for New Orleans, but they can over-match Carolina. Philadelphia
4th Tier Defenses MUST BENCH:
San Francisco
Philadelphia
Miami
Minnesota
Carolina
Cleveland
Atlanta
Cincinnati
St. Louis
Buffalo
NY Jets


We are no longer going to do kickers. They are way to hard to predict. and most teams only have one anyway. If you need to find a kicker cause of a BYE week base your decisions on 3 factors:
1. Is the kicker kicking in a Dome? (that's good)
2. Is the Defense the kicker facing a tough defense?
3. Is the kicker's offense very good?

Watch for our sleepers coming next!

Listen at 6:30 pm PST every Wendsday on Blogtalkradio.com for the Fantasy Football GURU Show with AJ Pelletier, Mike Bowser, RC, and weekly guests. This Wednsday we will be discussing a overview of last weeks games, give you advice on who to start THIS week, and go over rumors and injuries. As always we will discuss our weekly sleeper picks. Join us! Call in for questions at (646) 716-9203 or email us at guru@fantasyfootballsearch.com . To logon to our radio show or listen to a replay of the show goto The Fantasy Football Guru Show!. Click on the Click to Listen button and you are all set

Tuesday, November 20, 2007

The True GURU Goes 2-1 in Week 11 for a 28-5 overall season!

Week 11 was a solid week for me with some very tough match ups. I lost in the FOX Sports league to a division foe who was 5-5 and fighting for a playoff spot. I managed to pull out a huge win in my CBS league, and clinched a playoff berth with the win. IN the Yahoo! league, my dream season at 11-0 continues.
Lets checkout the results. Overall for the season I'm 28-5.

FOX Sports League - CHI TOWN (6-5) 87.9 - LV Cowboys (9-2) 61.8
My FOX league team had the chance to clinch a playoff berth this week and failed miserably. Hardly anyone on my team performed well or at all. My busts this week are (its a long list) Peyton Manning, Reggie Wayne, Marion Barber, Chicago defense, and Nick Folk. To leave a a positive note, I got Anquan Boldin back in my starting lineup and he performed well. Other honorable mentions go to Cooley and Colston. I should clinch next week.


CBS Sportsline - Lv Cowboys (8-3) 199.42 - LV Ravens (4-7) 198.47
This was a extremely close match that went down to the wire. I clinched a playoff berth with this win cementing that I will be in the playoffs in all three leagues. This match wasn't even close until Romo threw 2 TDs to TO in the 4th quarter and Gould added points with a BS field goal at the end of the Chicago game. I owe this game to great performance from Larry Fitzgerald, Braylon Edwards, Janikowski, and Green Bay defense. Gates and Westbrook also did well. I did pick up Kurt Warner for a spot start and he performed good as well.

Yahoo! League - LV Cowboys (11-0) 96.1 - Sassy Raiders (6-4) 83.80
This was a tough match up and I was bailed out by my QB Romo who almost cost me the game in the CBS league. I also grabbed DJ Hackett off of free agency and played him. he was great. Outside of Romo and Hacket, Jacobs and Jones-Drew did very well for me. Chad Johnson, Winslow, and Gore did not.

Listen at 6:30 pm PST every Thursday on Blogtalkradio.com for the Fantasy Football GURU Show with AJ Pelletier, Mike Bowser, RC, and weekly guests. This Thursday we will be discussing a overview of last weeks games, give you advice on who to start THIS week, and go over rumors and injuries. As always we will discuss our weekly sleeper picks. Join us! Call in for questions at (646) 716-9203 or email us at guru@fantasyfootballsearch.com . To logon to our radio show goto The Fantasy Football Guru Show!. Click on the Click to Listen button and you are all set.

Monday, November 19, 2007

Week 11 The True GURU Picks & Sleepers In Review

Week 11 was a good week for us. With 112 picks, we were correct on 64% of them. We have been hovering around the 65% range, which is good, but I'd like to break back into the 70% range. We were again great with 76% accuracy with QBs, but performed somewhat poorly on RBs and for the first time defenses. There were allot of mis-matches and poor performances this week the helped to skew the results. Our sleepers were solid again with 6 successful calls out of 10. We are very pleases getting 60% of our sleepers correct.
Here is a rundown for week 10 with all the numbers:
QB's 16/21 Correct ( 76%)
RB's 13/22 Correct (59%)
WR's 23/35 Correct ( 66%)
TE's 9/14 Correct (64%)
DEF's 11/20 Correct (55%)

OVERALL THIS WEEK: 72/112 Correct (64%) Last week 66/105 Correct (63%) "Start at your own risk "calls or players that did not play due to injuries were not counted.

Here is the review of our picks and how they stacked up:


QUARTERBACKS (16/21 76%)

1st Tier Quarterbacks WE RECOMMENDED AS MUST Start:
We had another great week with QB's, but not as well in the 1st tier. Big Ben and the Manning brothers were terrible this week. All that said, our other 5 picks were not only easy, but came through.


2nd Tier Quarterbacks WE RECOMMENDED You have to Start:
We had great success here with 6 out of 8 QB's getting the job done. We dropped Romo because of the tough Redskin secondary, who was in the end banged up. He came through along with Hasslebeck, Garcia, Kitna, and even Rivers with 300+ yards and a TD. The let downs were McNabb and Bulger.


4th Tier Quaterbacks WE RECOMMENDED MUST BENCH:
We recommended benching 5 QB's and all were correct. Clemens came close, but was worthy of a bench.


RUNNINGBACKS (13/22 59%)

1st Tier Runningbacks WE RECOMMENDED MUST Start:
Out of the 8 RB's we selected in this tier, 75% of them had great games. This wasn't a particularly great week for RB's in general. Willie Parker and Stephen Jackson stunk it up. McGahee, LT, Westbrook, and Jacobs all had solid performances in a weak RB week.


2nd Tier Runningbacks WE RECOMMENDED You have to Start:
We did awful with our 2nd tier of RB's getting 2 out of 7 correct. Nearly all were a bust Ernest Graham and Maurice Jones-Drew . Marion Barber has been a dud for 3 weeks now.

4th Tier Runningbacks WE RECOMMENDED MUST BENCH:
We recommended benching 7 RB's, and 2 burned us. Thomas Jones had his first good game of the year, and so did Cedric Benson. Go figure. Next week, they will still be on the Bench list.


WIDE RECEIVERS (23/35 66%)

1st Tier Wide Receivers WE RECOMMENDED MUST Start:
In this tier we gave you 13 WR's to start and 5 let us down. Those 5 were Hines Ward, Roy Williams, Reggie Wayne, Amani Toomer, and Bobby Engram. TO, Randy Moss, and Larry Fitzgerald did very well.


2nd Tier Wide Receivers WE RECOMMENDED You have to Start:
We did a little better in the 2nd tier leading the way was Anquin Boldin and DJ Hackett. After Crayton was shutout last week, we knew he was due. Edwards only had one catch, but he made it count. Chambers, Randle El, and Chad Johnson were some of the busts.


4th Tier Wide Receivers WE RECOMMENDED MUST BENCH:
We recommended benching 8 WRs, and we were on target all, but two. Calvin Johnson got a great TD pass.


TIGHT ENDS (9/14 64%)

Tight Ends To Start:
We did poorly for top tier TE's. this week We chose 7, and only 4 did well for us. Cooley, Gates, Lee, and Winslow has great games.

2nd Tier Tight Ends You have to Start:
We did better in this tier picking 5/8 correct. No real stars just solid TE performances.

Tight Ends To BENCH:
We recommended benching Vernon Davis, Desmond Clark, and Alge Crumpler this week. They all did poorly.

DEFENSES (11/20 55%)

1st Tier Defenses MUST Start:
It was tough to be a defense this week. Lots of scoring. We gave you 6 top tier defenses, and 3 came through. New England, Green Bay, and Tampa Bay did well. Pittsburgh was a bust.

2nd Tier Defenses You have to Start:
We recommended 6 defenses in the 2nd tier. They all did average or below average. Not much success here.

4th Tier Defenses MUST BENCH:

We told you to bench 11 defenses in fear of heavy scoring. 4 burned us and had good performances. San Francisco, St. Louis, Arizona and Cleveland all did well.

SLEEPERS 67/10 60%)


Jason Campbell, WAS (QB) - Did great. 348 yards and 2 TDs. This was one of his best games in his young career.
Neil Rackers, K (ARI) - 5 PATs, and nothing else.

Chester Taylor, RB (MIN) - Huge day. 200 total yards and three TDs. Beautiful.

Rudi Johnson, RB (CIN) - Very poor again. We thought that the Bengals would attempt to revive the running game, but no. Guess what, they lost.

Ronald Curry, WR (OAK)

Joe Jurevicius, WR (CLE) - We expected much more from Jurevicius, but we still got a decent game, especially in a point per reception league with 4 catches and 82 yards.

Julius Jones, RB (DAL) - Again a bust. We expected him to run more against the Redskins.

Denver, DEF - Excellent call here. The Denver defense showed up to the tune of 5 (forced fumbles) turnovers and a sack. Add in the Special teams TD.

Owen Daniels, TE (HOU) - We expected him to find the end zone, but he still had a great day considering TE standards. 5 catches, 74 yards.

Minnesota, DEF - I really thought they would show up against a terrible team like the Raiders, but they were a bust.